Boca Juniors vs Central Cordoba de Santiago Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Boca Juniors 3-1 Central Cordoba de Santiago.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Boca Juniors, 28% draw, 25% Central Cordoba de Santiago — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Boca Juniors at 47% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Boca Juniors vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
Line-ups
- 12L. BreyG
- 24D. GorositoD
- 4N. FigalD
- 26Marco PellegrinoD
- 3L. BlancoD
- 8T. BelmonteM
- 15W. AlarcónM
- 11Á. RomeroM
- 7C. PalaciosM
- 22S. VillaM
- 13E. ValenciaF
- 30J. GarcíaG
- 19L. FloresF
- 2L. Di LolloD
- 44Rodrigo Alexander BacidalupeF
- 25S. AscacíbarM
- 9M. GiménezF
- 42F. HerreraD
- 17L. LozanoD
- 16M. MerentielF
- 1A. AguerreG
- 33S. MoyanoD
- 2A. MacielD
- 6F. MansillaD
- 23D. CáceresD
- 20F. MartínezM
- 22M. VeraM
- 18L. GonzálezM
- 7D. BarreraM
- 10M. IacobellisF
- 28L. SequeiraF
- 55J. CardozoM
- 17Y. CasermeiroD
- 5T. CraveroM
- 47M. CuitinoF
- 29Joaquin FloresF
- 3L. MarchiD
- 19E. NayaF
- 30F. RodriguezM
- 11H. TijanovichF
Form going into Boca Juniors vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
Boca Juniors
- D2-2away to Gimnasia Mendoza5 September 2026
- W1-0Lanus29 August 2026
- D1-1away to Racing Club24 August 2026
- D1-1away to Platense16 August 2026
Central Cordoba de Santiago
- L0-1Independiente6 September 2026
- D0-0away to Talleres Cordoba30 August 2026
- L1-2away to Tigre24 August 2026
- L0-1Instituto Cordoba16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 14 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Boca Juniors vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
- 2 May 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–2 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 22 September 2025Boca Juniors 2–2 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 8 March 2025Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–3 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 19 May 2024Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–4 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 14 February 2024Boca Juniors 2–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 19 September 2023Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–3 Boca JuniorsCopa de la Liga Profesional
Leading scorers: Boca Juniors and Central Cordoba de Santiago
Boca Juniors
- M. Merentiel6 goals2 assists
Central Cordoba de Santiago
- M. Santos7 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.