12 September 2026, 23:00 UTC

Talleres Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Talleres Cordoba 2-1 Union Santa Fe.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Talleres Cordoba, 27% draw, 40% Union Santa Fe — fair odds of 3.03, 3.70 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Union Santa Fe at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Talleres Cordoba99%Draw1%Union Santa Fe0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

21'
Lucas Ayala
⚽A. Alvarezassist: F. Fattori
39'
49'
Juan Pablo Ludueña
Román Riquelme
55'
60'
🔁E. Giacconeout: M. Luna Diale
60'
🔁J. Palaciosout: E. Ramirez
63'
Brahian Cuello
68'
🔁B. Cuelloout: M. Aguirre
🔁F. Cristaldoout: G. Baroni
73'
🔁Rickout: D. Valoyes
73'
⚽V. Depietriassist: A. Alvarez
75'
Juan Sforza
77'
85'
🔁L. Ayalaout: B. Pitton
85'
🔁M. Estigarribiaout: V. J. Cerrudo
🔁V. Depietriout: E. Chiavassa
86'
🔁J. Sforzaout: L. Ortiz
90+1'
🔁A. Alvarezout: V. Davila
90+1'
90'
⚽E. Ramirezassist: B. Pitton

Match stats — Talleres Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe

61%Possession39%
22Shots17
7On target4
11Corners4
2.25xG0.77

Goals against chances

Talleres Cordoba2 from 2.25 xGabout what the chances were worth
Union Santa Fe1 from 0.77 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Talleres Cordoba 4-2-3-1
  • 32E. UnsainG
  • 20A. SchottD
  • 4M. CatalanD
  • 6R. D. RiquelmeD
  • 23G. Baez CorradiD
  • 8F. FattoriM
  • 15J. SforzaM
  • 37RickM
  • 19F. CristaldoM
  • 11V. DepietriM
  • 9A. AlvarezF
Substitutes
  • 1S. BarbiG
  • 13V. FascendiniD
  • 44S. FernandezD
  • 3A. MaidanaD
  • 2T. ChamorroD
  • 31B. TreyM
  • 25T. BaroniM
  • 39L. Ortiz
  • 10G. BaroniM
Coach: Omar De Felippe
Union Santa Fe 4-2-3-1
  • 21M. MansillaG
  • 15J. PintadoD
  • 44T. FagioliD
  • 26J. LuduenaD
  • 18L. AyalaD
  • 5L. MenossiM
  • 8E. GiacconeM
  • 20J. PalaciosM
  • 10I. MalcorraM
  • 22B. CuelloM
  • 19M. EstigarribiaF
Substitutes
  • 41A. ChavezG
  • 4M. RochaD
  • 36M. AimarD
  • 12B. PittonD
  • 32N. FazziD
  • 46S. GrellaM
  • 11M. Luna DialeM
  • 17J. MosqueiraM
  • 34M. PeresuttiM
Coach: Leonardo Madelon

Form going into Talleres Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe

Talleres Cordoba

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to San Lorenzo5 September 2026
  • D0-0Central Cordoba de Santiago30 August 2026
  • D2-2Rosario Central25 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Gimnasia Mendoza18 August 2026
  • L0-3Lanus12 August 2026

Union Santa Fe

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2Instituto Cordoba8 September 2026
  • W4-1Sarmiento Junin28 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Aldosivi21 August 2026
  • L0-1away to San Lorenzo15 August 2026
  • L1-2Central Cordoba de Santiago11 August 2026

What these results say

  • Talleres Cordoba did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Talleres Cordoba conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Union Santa Fe conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Union Santa Fe scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Union Santa Fe had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Talleres Cordoba163491723-613
9Union Santa Fe166372424021

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Talleres Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe

  • 2 May 2026Union Santa Fe 1–1 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 27 November 2024Union Santa Fe 2–3 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 11 July 2023Talleres Cordoba 0–0 Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 20 October 2022Talleres Cordoba 2–2 Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 18 February 2022Talleres Cordoba 0–0 Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 22 August 2021Union Santa Fe 1–2 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina

The full Talleres Cordoba vs Union Santa Fe record →

Leading scorers: Talleres Cordoba and Union Santa Fe

Talleres Cordoba

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

Union Santa Fe

GoalsAssists

  • C. Tarragona172

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Talleres Cordoba beat Union Santa Fe 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Union Santa Fe at 40% and given a win for Talleres Cordoba 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: A. Alvarez 39' for Talleres Cordoba, V. Depietri 75' for Talleres Cordoba, E. Ramirez 90' for Union Santa Fe. On expected goals it finished 2.25–0.77.

How the call on Talleres Cordoba v Union Santa Fe has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 41% / 28% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 33% / 27% / 40%: the biggest move is Union Santa Fe's chance of winning, up 9 points.

  1. Talleres Cordoba win33%▼ −8
  2. Draw27%▼ −1
  3. Union Santa Fe win40%▲ +9

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.