23 October 2026, 23:00 UTC

Audax Italiano vs Huachipato Primera División prediction & result

Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida, Santiago de Chile
Referee: Rodrigo Carvajal Molina
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Audax Italiano 1-1 Huachipato.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Audax Italiano, 27% draw, 28% Huachipato — fair odds of 2.22, 3.70 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Audax Italiano at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Audax Italiano5%Draw92%Huachipato3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

25'
⚽Maximiliano Rodríguezassist: Maicol Leon
⚽Felipe Salomoniassist: Giovani Chiaverano Meroi
34'
37'
Nicolas Vargas
45'
🔁Kevin Altezout: Carlos Herrera
Diego Coelho
51'
Enzo Ferrario
61'
61'
🔁Ezequiel Martin Caneteout: Lionel Altamirano
Marco Collao Ramos
64'
🔁Giovani Chiaverano Meroiout: Michael Fuentes
67'
🔁Marco Collao Ramosout: Federico Mateos
67'
🔁Martín Vicente Jiménez Salinasout: Paolo Guajardo
67'
69'
🔁H. Antiñirreout: Cris Martinez
🔁César Pinaresout: Mario Eduardo Sandoval
73'
🔁Diego Coelhoout: Ariel Uribe
81'
Mario Eduardo Sandoval
90+3'
90+3'
🔁Maximiliano Rodríguezout: Claudio Torres

Match stats — Audax Italiano vs Huachipato

63%Possession37%
18Shots12
5On target3
8Corners2
1.17xG0.93

Goals against chances

Audax Italiano1 from 1.17 xGabout what the chances were worth
Huachipato1 from 0.93 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Audax Italiano 4-4-2
  • 1T. AhumadaG
  • 35R. RebolledoD
  • 29M. OrtizD
  • 13E. FerrarioD
  • 3F. SalomoniD
  • 20M. JiménezM
  • 19C. PinaresM
  • 8M. CollaoM
  • 21G. ChiaveranoM
  • 9D. CoelhoF
  • 11F. TroyanskyF
Substitutes
  • 2V. ZentenoM
  • 6M. SandovalM
  • 16O. RojasM
  • 24N. OrellanaF
  • 28F. MateosM
  • 7P. GuajardoM
  • 25P. GarridoG
  • 27M. FuentesF
  • 30A. UribeM
Coach: P. Graff
Huachipato 4-1-3-2
  • 1S. MellaG
  • 20C. ToroD
  • 8P. VargasD
  • 5R. CarocaD
  • 26H. AntiñirreD
  • 10E. CañeteM
  • 7M. BriceñoM
  • 24M. LeónM
  • 30K. AltezM
  • 19S. NúñezF
  • 15M. RodríguezF
Substitutes
  • 12C. BravoG
  • 16L. ArriagadaF
  • 9L. AltamiranoF
  • 22Javier Nicolás Cárcamo CifuentesM
  • 11J. FigueroaF
  • 21C. HerreraM
  • 23C. MartínezF
  • 38Sebastian MelgarejoM
  • 29C. TorresM
Coach: J. García

Form going into Audax Italiano vs Huachipato

Audax Italiano

Primera División

  • W1-0O'Higgins13 September 2026

Huachipato

Primera División

  • W2-0O'Higgins10 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Universidad de Concepcion2 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Chile Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Audax Italiano2779112836-830
11Huachipato2696113441-733

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Audax Italiano vs Huachipato

  • 20 April 2026Huachipato 3–2 Audax ItalianoPrimera División
  • 9 November 2025Huachipato 2–1 Audax ItalianoPrimera División
  • 5 October 2025Huachipato 4–2 Audax ItalianoCopa Chile
  • 29 September 2025Audax Italiano 1–0 HuachipatoCopa Chile
  • 26 May 2025Audax Italiano 4–3 HuachipatoPrimera División
  • 20 October 2024Audax Italiano 0–2 HuachipatoPrimera División

Leading scorers: Audax Italiano and Huachipato

Audax Italiano

No player in Primera División's leading scorers — 28 league goals as a side.

Huachipato

GoalsAssists

  • L. Altamirano91

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Audax Italiano and Huachipato drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Audax Italiano at 45% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Maximiliano Rodríguez 25' for Huachipato, Felipe Salomoni 34' for Audax Italiano. On expected goals it finished 1.17–0.93.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Audax Italiano these chances to finish in the bottom three: 4.8% after a win, 12.9% after a draw, 19.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 12.9%.

Read from our Primera División season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.