Austria Vienna vs Lask Linz Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Austria Vienna 0-2 Lask Linz.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Austria Vienna, 25% draw, 48% Lask Linz — fair odds of 3.70, 4.00 and 2.08. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lask Linz at 48% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Austria Vienna vs Lask Linz
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1S. Sahin-RadlingerG
- 46J. HandlD
- 15A. DragovicD
- 3I. BuhariD
- 26R. RanftlM
- 16Lee Kang-HeeM
- 22F. WustingerM
- 17Lee Tae-SeokM
- 20J. HettwerF
- 10S. SaljicF
- 19J. EggesteinF
- 99M. KosG
- 30M. FischerM
- 37M. WelsM
- 40D. NnodimD
- 6P. MaybachM
- 7V. MarkovicM
- 14K. BoatengF
- 4J. FeddersenD
- 74H. Deshishku
- 1L. JungwirthG
- 4X. MbuyambaD
- 43J. TornichD
- 16A. AndradeD
- 10R. LjubicicM
- 20K. P. Molgaard JorgensenM
- 9K. DanekM
- 30S. HorvathM
- 2G. BelloM
- 7S. AdeniranF
- 27C. LangF
- 33T. SchutzenauerG
- 29F. FleckerF
- 6M. BogardeD
- 25Y. DibangoD
- 8M. UsorF
- 18A. SchopfM
- 3M. FreckletonD
- 21M. Verhaeghe
Form going into Austria Vienna vs Lask Linz
Austria Vienna
- W2-1away to Beitar Jerusalem6 August 2026
- L0-3away to Wolfsberger AC2 August 2026
- W3-1FK Liepaja30 July 2026
- W2-0away to FK Liepaja23 July 2026
Lask Linz
- W3-0Grazer AK31 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Austria Vienna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
| 1 | Lask Linz | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | +12 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Austria Vienna vs Lask Linz
- 9 August 2026Austria Vienna 0–2 Lask LinzBundesliga
- 17 May 2026Austria Vienna 0–3 Lask LinzBundesliga
- 5 April 2026Lask Linz 4–1 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- 1 March 2026Austria Vienna 2–2 Lask LinzBundesliga
- 17 August 2025Lask Linz 2–1 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- 1 December 2024Lask Linz 1–3 Austria ViennaBundesliga
Leading scorers: Austria Vienna and Lask Linz
Austria Vienna
- J. Hettwer2 goals
Lask Linz
- S. Adeniran4 goals1 assists
- C. Lang4 goals
- M. Usor2 goals3 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.