Nice sit 18th in the Ligue 1 on 2 points from 4 matches, having scored 1 and conceded 5. The model rates their attack at 0.76× the league average and their defence at 1.04× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Across their last 4 league matches they have 2 draws and 2 defeats, most recently losing to Auxerre 0-1 away. That is 0.50 points a match, scoring 0.25 and conceding 1.25 per game across 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. That leaves them 8 points behind Lille at the top, in a table of 18. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 18th-best attack and the 13th-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 4 and kept 3 clean sheets. Next they host Lille in the Ligue 1 on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 33%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lille | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 | Monaco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 | Rennes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 | Lyon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 8 |
| 5 | Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 8 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Stade Brestois 29 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Lens | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 4 |
| 11 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Estac Troyes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 13 | Marseille | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Toulouse | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Nice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
Nice sit 18 of 18, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L0-1away to Auxerre12 September 2026
- D1-1Le Mans5 September 2026
- L0-3away to Paris FC30 August 2026
- D0-0Lorient22 August 2026
Last 4 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Nice vs Lille
Nice host Lille at Allianz Riviera, Nice on 20 September 2026, 15:15 UTC. The model makes it 33% Nice, 31% draw and 36% Lille, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 1.05 expected goals for Nice against 1.15. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
Full preview and model analysis for Nice vs Lille
Recent meetings with Lille
- 18 April 2026Lille 0–0 NiceLigue 1
- 29 October 2025Nice 2–0 LilleLigue 1
- 17 January 2025Lille 2–1 NiceLigue 1
- 10 November 2024Nice 2–2 LilleLigue 1
- 19 May 2024Lille 2–2 NiceLigue 1
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
