Baltika vs Lokomotiv Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Baltika 0-1 Lokomotiv.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Baltika, 28% draw, 25% Lokomotiv — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Russian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Baltika at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Baltika vs Lokomotiv
Line-ups
- 1E. LatyshonokG
- 22M. BeveevD
- 2S. VaratynovD
- 24L. MouyokoloD
- 21E. AndersonD
- 4N. GassamaD
- 42V. PospelovM
- 8A. MendelM
- 5A. MouridM
- 11N. TitkovM
- 9C. OfforF
- 81I. KukushkinG
- 44E. LyubakovG
- 18F. MoufiD
- 77E. CivicD
- 3I. KirschD
- 68M. RyadnoD
- 19M. ShnaptsevD
- 7K. ShiltsovM
- 73M. PetrovM
- 1A. MitryushkinG
- 85E. MorozovD
- 5G. NyamsiD
- 23C. MontesD
- 3Lucas FassonD
- 6S. BabkinM
- 75I. EremeevM
- 19A. RudenkoM
- 7Z. BakaevM
- 9S. PinyaevM
- 77A. MostovoyF
- 22I. LantratovG
- 16D. VeselovG
- 24M. NenakhovD
- 59E. PogostnovD
- 8A. KovalenkoM
- 88M. ShchetininM
- 47D. GodyaevM
- 74D. ChevardinD
- 27N. KomlichenkoF
Form going into Baltika vs Lokomotiv
Baltika
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Rodina Moskva30 August 2026
- D1-1Rubin24 August 2026
- L1-2Spartak Moscow16 August 2026
- W2-0away to Krylia Sovetov8 August 2026
Lokomotiv
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Dynamo29 August 2026
- L2-3away to CSKA Moscow22 August 2026
- D1-1away to FC Orenburg14 August 2026
- D0-0Akron8 August 2026
What these results say
- Baltika scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Lokomotiv did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Lokomotiv conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Lokomotiv had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Russia Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Baltika | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 17 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Baltika vs Lokomotiv
- 10 May 2026Lokomotiv 1–0 BaltikaPremier League
- 23 October 2025Baltika 1–2 LokomotivCup
- 16 August 2025Baltika 1–1 LokomotivPremier League
- 13 August 2025Lokomotiv 2–0 BaltikaCup
- 6 July 2024Lokomotiv 4–1 BaltikaFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Baltika and Lokomotiv
Baltika
GoalsAssists
- B. Gil51
Lokomotiv
GoalsAssists
- N. Titkov31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Lokomotiv won 1–0 at Baltika. The model had leaned towards a win for Baltika at 47% and given a win for Lokomotiv 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: A. Mostovoy 85' for Lokomotiv.