Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Dinamo Makhachkala 2-0 Rodina Moskva.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Dinamo Makhachkala, 24% draw, 25% Rodina Moskva — fair odds of 1.96, 4.17 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Russian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Dinamo Makhachkala at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva
Line-ups
- 39T. MagomedovG
- 72A. SandrachukD
- 24A. AlarconD
- 99M. AlibekovD
- 77T. SundukovD
- 6M. ApshatsevM
- 52E. SmelovM
- 47N. GlushkovM
- 16H. MrezigueM
- 88D. LesovoyM
- 11MiroF
- 1D. VolkG
- 33N. KarabashevG
- 43I. AkhmedovD
- 13S. KagermazovD
- 23M. MakhamadzhonovD
- 10M. HosseinnejadM
- 21A. DzhabrailovM
- 9R. MagomedovM
- 19K. ZinovichM
- 13S. VolkovG
- 80S. BessmertniyD
- 26A. MeshchaninovD
- 75M. NadeD
- 3L. GoglichidzeD
- 6R. FishchenkoM
- 8I. PozoM
- 9A. MaksimenkoM
- 10Y. ReynaM
- 17S. BakaevM
- 7G. OnugkhaF
- 1S. AydarovG
- 55M. KrizanD
- 88A. SokolD
- 49I. DyatlovD
- 72A. GordyushenkoM
- 38L. MusaevM
- 5A. EgorychevM
- 23K. UshatovM
- 11B. MansillaF
Form going into Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva
Dinamo Makhachkala
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Rubin30 August 2026
- L0-1FC Krasnodar23 August 2026
- W4-1away to Krylia Sovetov16 August 2026
- L1-3away to Dynamo9 August 2026
Rodina Moskva
All competitions we cover
- L0-3Baltika30 August 2026
- L1-3away to Dynamo23 August 2026
- D3-3Akron15 August 2026
- W2-1away to Zenit9 August 2026
What these results say
- Dinamo Makhachkala conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Dinamo Makhachkala failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Dinamo Makhachkala scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Rodina Moskva conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Rodina Moskva had three goals or more.
- Rodina Moskva failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Russia Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Rodina Moskva | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rodina Moskva
- 18 May 2024Dinamo Makhachkala 2–0 Rodina MoskvaFirst League
- 23 October 2023Rodina Moskva 0–0 Dinamo MakhachkalaFirst League
- 15 April 2023Rodina Moskva 2–0 Dinamo MakhachkalaFirst League
- 25 September 2022Dinamo Makhachkala 0–0 Rodina MoskvaFirst League
Leading scorers: Dinamo Makhachkala and Rodina Moskva
Dinamo Makhachkala
GoalsAssists
- G. Agalarov50
Rodina Moskva
GoalsAssists
- A. Maksimenko31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dinamo Makhachkala beat Rodina Moskva 2–0. The model had made a win for Dinamo Makhachkala its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: G. Agalarov 51' for Dinamo Makhachkala, H. Mrezigue 64' for Dinamo Makhachkala. Sent off: German Onugkha (Rodina Moskva) 8'.
How the call on Dinamo Makhachkala v Rodina Moskva has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 53% / 22% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 51% / 24% / 25%: the biggest move is Dinamo Makhachkala's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Dinamo Makhachkala win51%▼ −2
- Draw24%▲ +2
- Rodina Moskva win25%=
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.