Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Dynamo 2-1 Spartak Moscow.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Dynamo, 31% draw, 34% Spartak Moscow — fair odds of 2.86, 3.23 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Dynamo at 35%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow
Line-ups
- 1K. RasulovG
- 4J. CaceresD
- 55M. OsipenkoD
- 57David RicardoD
- 8RubensD
- 24L. ChavezM
- 15D. GlebovM
- 10BitelloM
- 91Y. GladyshevF
- 70K. TyukavinF
- 11Arthur GomesF
- 99A. LunevG
- 31I. LeshchukG
- 7D. SkopintsevD
- 56L. ZaydenzalD
- 6R. FernandezD
- 2N. MarichalD
- 5M. MajstorovicD
- 74D. FominM
- 88V. OkishorM
- 98A. MaksimenkoG
- 83G. FernandesD
- 3C. WoohD
- 4A. DjikuD
- 33V. ParadaD
- 18N. UmyarovM
- 7P. SolariM
- 25D. PrutsevM
- 47R. ZobninM
- 10MarquinhosM
- 9M. UgaldeF
- 56A. DovbnyaG
- 1I. PomazunG
- 6S. BabicD
- 82D. KhlusevichD
- 97D. DenisovD
- 71A. DobroditskiyD
- 17V. SausM
- 40I. SorokinM
- 27I. DmitrievM
Form going into Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Lokomotiv29 August 2026
- W3-1Rodina Moskva23 August 2026
- L0-3away to Zenit16 August 2026
- W3-1Dinamo Makhachkala9 August 2026
Spartak Moscow
All competitions we cover
- D1-1FC Orenburg30 August 2026
- W2-0Zenit23 August 2026
- W2-1away to Baltika16 August 2026
- L1-2FC Krasnodar9 August 2026
What these results say
- Dynamo won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Dynamo scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Dynamo conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Spartak Moscow scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Spartak Moscow conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in 3 of these 4 matches for Spartak Moscow.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Russia Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dynamo | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 13 | +10 | 31 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 11 | +16 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dynamo vs Spartak Moscow
- 18 March 2026Spartak Moscow 1–0 DynamoCup
- 5 March 2026Dynamo 5–2 Spartak MoscowCup
- 6 December 2025Spartak Moscow 1–1 DynamoPremier League
- 13 September 2025Dynamo 2–2 Spartak MoscowPremier League
- 11 May 2025Dynamo 2–0 Spartak MoscowPremier League
Leading scorers: Dynamo and Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
GoalsAssists
- K. Tyukavin71
- V. Okishor32
Spartak Moscow
GoalsAssists
- M. Ugalde60
- M. Daku51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dynamo beat Spartak Moscow 2–1. The model had made a win for Dynamo its most likely outcome, at 35%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: D. Prutsev 21' for Spartak Moscow, Y. Gladyshev 25' for Dynamo, Arthur Gomes 34' for Dynamo. Sent off: Konstantin Tyukavin (Dynamo) 72'.