Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas Academy NB I prediction & result
Final score: Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 Puskas Academy.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Zalaegerszegi TE, 32% draw, 38% Puskas Academy — fair odds of 3.33, 3.13 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Puskas Academy at 38% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas Academy
Line-ups
- 1B. Gundel-TakacsG
- 8A. CsonkaD
- 13T. PenalbaD
- 33Diogo AntonioD
- 18J. CalderonD
- 74B. BabosM
- 30F. AmatoM
- 6E. KujovicM
- 23Maxsuell AlegriaM
- 9M. MachadoF
- 7D. KrevsunF
- 31Z. MauricioG
- 3F. Vera
- 4J. PerazaD
- 99Z. GaraiD
- 2A. HarangiD
- 17Guilherme TeixeiraF
- 10B. Kiss
- 77Arthur HenriqueF
- 20M. RichardsM
- 72B. LehoczkiG
- 96R. OrjanD
- 14W. GollaD
- 21G. HarutyunyanD
- 25Z. NagyD
- 20M. SoisaloM
- 66Z. VargaM
- 6L. DuarteM
- 10P. DardaiM
- 90A. NemethF
- 8D. LukacsF
- 1T. MarkekG
- 22R. SzolnokiD
- 88B. FarkasD
- 24B. PalD
- 4M. OkekeM
- 74M. KernM
- 18B. VekonyM
- 9L. ColleyF
- 77K. MondovicsF
Form going into Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas Academy
Zalaegerszegi TE
- L0-1away to Budapest Honved29 August 2026
- L0-3away to Gyori ETO FC23 August 2026
- L0-1Ferencvarosi TC17 August 2026
- L0-5away to Vasas8 August 2026
Puskas Academy
- L1-2Ferencvarosi TC30 August 2026
- W1-0away to Vasas22 August 2026
- W3-2Paks16 August 2026
- W3-2away to MTK Budapest7 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 |
| 2 | Puskas Academy | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zalaegerszegi TE vs Puskas Academy
- 6 September 2026Zalaegerszegi TE 1–0 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 1 May 2026Zalaegerszegi TE 1–3 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 8 February 2026Puskas Academy 0–1 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
- 19 October 2025Zalaegerszegi TE 0–1 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 16 March 2025Puskas Academy 2–1 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
- 9 November 2024Zalaegerszegi TE 4–2 Puskas AcademyNB I
Leading scorers: Zalaegerszegi TE and Puskas Academy
Zalaegerszegi TE
- Calderón2 goals
Puskas Academy
- A. Németh2 goals1 assists
- G. Harutyunyan2 goals
- L. Colley2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.