9 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

San Lorenzo vs Huracan Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires
Full time0 – 2

Final score: San Lorenzo 0-2 Huracan.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% San Lorenzo, 26% draw, 34% Huracan — fair odds of 2.50, 3.85 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts San Lorenzo at 40% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

San Lorenzo0%Draw1%Huracan99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Mathias de Ritis
2'
20'
Lucas Carrizo
45'
⚽J. Caicedo
🔁M. De Ritisout: T. Rodriguez Pagano
46'
🔁F. Gulliout: G. del Prete
53'
🔁M. Rioout: J. Rattalino
53'
Orlando Gill
57'
57'
Jordy Caicedo
57'
⚽J. Caicedoassist: F. Kalinger
•Orlando Gill
60'
Orlando Gill
62'
🔁N. Blancoout: J. Devecchi
63'
66'
🔁J. Caicedoout: I. Pussetto
77'
Ignacio Pussetto
78'
🔁F. Kalingerout: L. Mora
Rodrigo Auzmendi
90'
90'
🔁O. Cortesout: O. Romero

Match stats — San Lorenzo vs Huracan

54%Possession46%
8Shots14
3On target5
2Corners4
0.67xG1.22

Goals against chances

San Lorenzo0 from 0.67 xGless than the chances were worth
Huracan2 from 1.22 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

San Lorenzo 5-3-2
  • 12O. GillG
  • 54N. BlancoD
  • 19E. AmorD
  • 2D. ArboledaD
  • 35A. CordobaD
  • 6M. De RitisD
  • 10F. GulliM
  • 27M. RioM
  • 24N. TripichioM
  • 9A. CuelloF
  • 29R. AuzmendiF
Substitutes
  • 25J. DevecchiG
  • 18D. HerazoF
  • 21G. del PreteF
  • 42F. LorenzonD
  • 15M. CardilloM
  • 5I. PerruzziM
  • 16G. CorujoD
  • 22J. AlvarezM
  • 11M. RealiF
Coach: Nestor Gorosito
Huracan 4-3-3
  • 1H. GalindezG
  • 2L. BlondelD
  • 21H. NervoD
  • 3L. CarrizoD
  • 35M. PalazzoD
  • 24F. KalingerM
  • 5Rodrigo FernandezM
  • 8L. GilM
  • 17J. Bisanz
  • 9J. CaicedoF
  • 7O. CortesF
Substitutes
  • 32S. MezaG
  • 23I. PussettoF
  • 6F. PereyraD
  • 4F. VeraD
  • 34I. CampoD
  • 11T. PeraltaM
  • 10O. RomeroM
  • 14A. MartinezM
  • 19L. LescanoD
Coach: Diego Martinez

Form going into San Lorenzo vs Huracan

San Lorenzo

  • L0-1away to Central Cordoba de Santiago4 August 2026
  • W1-0Gimnasia Mendoza28 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Lanus26 July 2026

Huracan

  • D0-0Atletico Tucuman4 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Independiente Rivadavia30 July 2026
  • W1-0Banfield25 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: San Lorenzo vs Huracan

  • 9 August 2026San Lorenzo 0–2 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 8 February 2026Huracan 1–0 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 30 August 2025San Lorenzo 0–0 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 23 February 2025Huracan 2–0 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 20 July 2024San Lorenzo 1–1 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 24 February 2024Huracan 0–0 San LorenzoCopa de la Liga Profesional

Leading scorers: San Lorenzo and Huracan

San Lorenzo

  • R. Auzmendi6 goals

Huracan

  • J. Caicedo13 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.