16 August 2026, 13:00 UTC

Baník Ostrava vs Artis Czech Liga prediction & result

Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich, Ostrava
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Baník Ostrava 1-0 Artis.

Before kick-off the model made it 71% Baník Ostrava, 18% draw, 11% Artis — fair odds of 1.41, 5.56 and 9.09. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Baník Ostrava at 71% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Baník Ostrava97%Draw3%Artis0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. Kohut
8'
11'
•Dominik Preisler
Michal Frydrych
17'
•Jiří Boula
23'
24'
Alexis Alegue
30'
Neil Glossoa
38'
🔁N. Glossoaout: I. Fomba
44'
•Papalélé
🔁M. Frydrychout: J. Micek
45+10'
46'
🔁A. Carlenout: M. Pospisil
Maksym Diachuk
51'
59'
🔁A. Petrakout: D. Samek
62'
Issa Fomba
🔁M. Kohutout: V. Jurecka
62'
🔁A. Gningout: V. Skrkon
62'
66'
•Martin Pospisil
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy
74'
🔁J. Boulaout: M. Chalus
76'
🔁D. Gilbertout: D. Holzer
84'

Match stats — Baník Ostrava vs Artis

49%Possession51%
11Shots15
4On target3
2Corners4
2.23xG0.91

Goals against chances

Baník Ostrava1 from 2.23 xGless than the chances were worth
Artis0 from 0.91 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1
  • 23M. JedlickaG
  • 17M. FrydrychD
  • 83R. NoghaD
  • 16M. DyachukD
  • 34A. BeweneM
  • 8A. TraoreM
  • 5J. BoulaM
  • 99V. SinyavskiyM
  • 21M. KohutF
  • 7D. GilbertF
  • 12A. GningF
Substitutes
  • 1V. BudinskyG
  • 77M. BabkaG
  • 37M. ChalusD
  • 42J. MicekD
  • 95D. HolzerM
  • 9D. BuchtaM
  • 55A. MusakM
  • 18D. PlankaM
  • 15V. JureckaF
Coach: Roman Skuhravy
Artis 4-2-3-1
  • 32T. StoppenG
  • 33N. GlossoaD
  • 4D. PlechatyD
  • 28D. SimekD
  • 27D. PreislerD
  • 14A. PetrakM
  • 21A. CarlenM
  • 7A. AlegueM
  • 8S. KomljenovicM
  • 17PapaleleM
  • 12E. H. Ndiaye
Substitutes
  • 31J. BorekG
  • 29R. KasikG
  • 5M. JerabekD
  • 2S. HarazimD
  • 15E. FullyD
  • 26M. PospisilM
  • 22J. FulnekD
  • 10D. SamekM
  • 11I. FombaM
Coach: Roman Nadvornik

Form going into Baník Ostrava vs Artis

Baník Ostrava

  • L1-2away to Hradec Králové9 August 2026
  • L0-4Slavia Praha1 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Zlin25 July 2026

Artis

  • L1-2Sigma Olomouc9 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Slovácko1 August 2026
  • L2-4Mlada Boleslav27 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Baník Ostrava8305515-109
14Artis8116718-114

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Baník Ostrava vs Artis

  • 16 August 2026Baník Ostrava 1–0 ArtisCzech Liga
  • 23 June 2024Artis 2–2 Baník OstravaFriendlies Clubs
  • 6 July 2022Artis 0–2 Baník OstravaFriendlies Clubs
  • 10 July 2021Baník Ostrava 2–0 ArtisFriendlies Clubs
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.