15 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Plzen vs Zlin Czech Liga prediction & result

Doosan Arena, Plzen
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Plzen 3-2 Zlin.

Before kick-off the model made it 67% Plzen, 21% draw, 12% Zlin — fair odds of 1.49, 4.76 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Plzen at 67% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽O. Kukucka (OG)
6'
13'
⚽S. Petrutaassist: F. Appiah
⚽C. Kabongo (pen)
42'
52'
Cletus Nombil
⚽P. Aduassist: A. Memic
56'
Merchas Doski
61'
🔁C. Souareout: A. Sojka
62'
🔁C. Kabongoout: D. Visinsky
62'
62'
🔁S. Petrutaout: M. Cupak
62'
🔁D. Grygeraout: A. Gazi
Alexandr Sojka
77'
🔁T. Ladraout: J. Panos
78'
🔁P. Aduout: S. Lawal
78'
78'
🔁J. Kolarout: T. Hellebrand
78'
🔁D. Smigaout: S. Kanu
81'
🔁C. Nombilout: P. Mbatshi
83'
⚽F. Appiah
84'
•Frank Appiah 
🔁P. Hrosovskyout: S. Pirgic
90+3'

Match stats — Plzen vs Zlin

62%Possession38%
15Shots11
6On target5
6Corners3
2.22xG1.06

Goals against chances

Plzen3 from 2.22 xGmore than the chances were worth
Zlin2 from 1.06 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Plzen 4-1-4-1
  • 44F. WiegeleG
  • 99A. MemicD
  • 40S. DwehD
  • 5K. SpacilD
  • 14M. DoskiD
  • 6L. CervM
  • 19C. SouareM
  • 17P. HrosovskyM
  • 18T. LadraM
  • 25C. KabongoM
  • 80P. AduF
Substitutes
  • 13M. TvrdonG
  • 1D. TapajG
  • 12A. SojkaM
  • 9D. VisinskyM
  • 98F. PrebslD
  • 20J. PanosM
  • 66S. BohacM
  • 36S. PirgicF
  • 7S. LawalF
Coach: Martin Hysky
Zlin 5-4-1
  • 17S. DostalG
  • 23M. KopecnyD
  • 24J. CerninD
  • 28J. KolarD
  • 35O. KukuckaD
  • 22M. FukalaD
  • 20F. AppiahM
  • 19C. NombilM
  • 10S. PetrutaM
  • 21D. GrygeraM
  • 9D. SmigaF
Substitutes
  • 34M. KnoblochG
  • 31L. BartosakD
  • 39A. KrapkaD
  • 82M. Pisoja
  • 45P. MbatshiD
  • 26M. CupakM
  • 53T. HellebrandM
  • 88T. PoznarF
  • 11A. GaziM
Coach: Bronislav Cervenka

Form going into Plzen vs Zlin

Plzen

  • D5-5away to Teplice8 August 2026
  • D1-1Zbrojovka Brno1 August 2026
  • L1-3Slovan Liberec25 July 2026

Zlin

  • L0-2Bohemians 19058 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Sparta Praha31 July 2026
  • L0-1Baník Ostrava25 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Plzen82421615+110
16Zlin8008718-110

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Plzen vs Zlin

  • 15 August 2026Plzen 3–2 ZlinCzech Liga
  • 1 March 2026Zlin 3–0 PlzenCzech Liga
  • 28 September 2025Plzen 0–1 ZlinCzech Liga
  • 27 February 2025Plzen 4–1 ZlinCup
  • 24 April 2024Plzen 3–0 ZlinCup
  • 24 February 2024Plzen 3–0 ZlinCzech Liga
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.