15 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Slovácko vs Sigma Olomouc Czech Liga prediction & result

Mestsky stadion Miroslava Valenty, Uherske Hradiste
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Slovácko 1-2 Sigma Olomouc.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% Slovácko, 28% draw, 22% Sigma Olomouc — fair odds of 2.00, 3.57 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Slovácko at 50% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Slovácko0%Draw4%Sigma Olomouc96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

45'
⚽L. Lurvinkassist: A. Sylla
46'
🔁F. Krivakout: D. Tkac
🔁M. Sviderskyout: G. Sosseh
64'
🔁G. Niarchosout: F. Horsky
64'
67'
⚽P. Barathassist: V. Sejk
73'
🔁A. Ekerothout: M. Hadas
73'
🔁D. Janosekout: J. Kliment
🔁G. Ndefeout: P. Ndubuisi
74'
🔁A. Marinelliout: L. Vorlicky
74'
⚽P. Ndubuisiassist: L. Vorlicky
79'
80'
🔁M. Beranout: M. Soldo
84'
🔁A. Ghaliout: J. Sip
M. Travnik
90+3'

Match stats — Slovácko vs Sigma Olomouc

46%Possession54%
12Shots8
6On target4
2Corners2
1.04xG2.02

Goals against chances

Slovácko1 from 1.04 xGabout what the chances were worth
Sigma Olomouc2 from 2.02 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Slovácko 3-4-2-1
  • 34P. HalouskaG
  • 21S. SloncikD
  • 22J. BehiratcheD
  • 4A. Stojcevski
  • 2G. NdefeM
  • 6M. SviderskyM
  • 10M. TravnikM
  • 15P. BlahutM
  • 20M. HavlikF
  • 9A. MarinelliF
  • 7G. NiarchosF
Substitutes
  • 33A. UrbanG
  • 23D. StepanekD
  • 24M. KoscelnikD
  • 19T. KralD
  • 28L. PriorD
  • 16G. SossehM
  • 14A. AlabiD
  • 72L. VorlickyM
  • 25P. NdubuisiD
Coach: Jan Jelinek
Sigma Olomouc 3-4-2-1
  • 91J. KoutnyG
  • 2A. SyllaD
  • 33M. MalyD
  • 3L. LurvinkD
  • 70A. GhaliM
  • 88P. BarathM
  • 7M. BeranM
  • 29A. EkerothM
  • 39D. JanosekF
  • 23F. KrivakF
  • 10V. SejkF
Substitutes
  • 98M. HruskaG
  • 16F. SlavicekD
  • 26S. NoumbissieD
  • 22M. HadasD
  • 14M. SoldoM
  • 8J. SpacilM
  • 24D. TkacM
  • 25M. MikulenkaF
  • 9J. KlimentF
Coach: Pavel Hapal

Form going into Slovácko vs Sigma Olomouc

Slovácko

  • L0-1away to FK Jablonec9 August 2026
  • D1-1Artis1 August 2026
  • L1-5away to Slavia Praha26 July 2026

Sigma Olomouc

  • W2-1away to Artis9 August 2026
  • D2-2Mlada Boleslav2 August 2026
  • L1-2away to FK Jablonec26 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Slovácko8035514-93
3Sigma Olomouc85121610+616

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Slovácko vs Sigma Olomouc

  • 15 August 2026Slovácko 1–2 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
  • 19 April 2026Sigma Olomouc 2–1 SlováckoCzech Liga
  • 20 July 2025Slovácko 0–1 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
  • 13 April 2025Slovácko 2–2 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
  • 27 November 2024Sigma Olomouc 2–1 SlováckoCzech Liga
  • 2 December 2023Sigma Olomouc 1–1 SlováckoCzech Liga

Leading scorers: Slovácko and Sigma Olomouc

Slovácko

No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.

Sigma Olomouc

  • V. Sejk3 goals2 assists
  • A. Ghali3 goals1 assists
  • P. Baráth3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.