Slovan Liberec vs Slavia Praha Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Slovan Liberec 1-1 Slavia Praha.
Before kick-off the model made it 15% Slovan Liberec, 18% draw, 67% Slavia Praha — fair odds of 6.67, 5.56 and 1.49. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slavia Praha at 67% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slovan Liberec vs Slavia Praha
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 40T. KoubekG
- 29L. HulkaD
- 14A. DrakpeD
- 3J. MikulaD
- 18J. KozeluhM
- 8L. MasopustM
- 60F. FayeM
- 27A. KayondoM
- 7A. SoliuF
- 15M. LexaF
- 99R. KrollisF
- 33L. PeslG
- 41D. DobesG
- 5P. HodousD
- 16A. BuzekM
- 10Q. ZybaM
- 28V. SychraM
- 12V. StranskyM
- 77D. Rus
- 94V. BaboulaF
- 35J. MarkovicG
- 3T. HolesD
- 4D. ZimaD
- 42M. KonecnyD
- 14S. IsifeM
- 30W. NowakM
- 23M. SadilekM
- 15M. SuleimanM
- 20E. AyaosiF
- 17L. ProvodF
- 13M. ChytilF
- 29N. DomchakG
- 2S. ChaloupekD
- 27T. VlcekD
- 6A. N'GuessanD
- 8O. KubiakD
- 16D. MosesM
- 22T. DiakiteM
- 32P. KacorM
- 26I. SchranzF
Form going into Slovan Liberec vs Slavia Praha
Slovan Liberec
- W1-0away to Zbrojovka Brno7 August 2026
- L0-1Teplice1 August 2026
- W3-1away to Plzen25 July 2026
Slavia Praha
- W2-1Pardubice9 August 2026
- W4-0away to Baník Ostrava1 August 2026
- W5-1Slovácko26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 19 |
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 5 | +18 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slovan Liberec vs Slavia Praha
- 16 August 2026Slovan Liberec 1–1 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 2 May 2026Slovan Liberec 1–2 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 21 February 2026Slavia Praha 1–0 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
- 21 September 2025Slovan Liberec 1–1 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 1 December 2024Slavia Praha 1–0 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
- 2 August 2024Slovan Liberec 0–1 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Slovan Liberec and Slavia Praha
Slovan Liberec
- P. Dulay3 goals1 assists
- L. Mašek3 goals
Slavia Praha
- W. Nowak5 goals1 assists
- M. Chytil4 goals
- E. Ayaosi3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.