Belshina vs Dinamo Minsk Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Belshina 2-3 Dinamo Minsk.
Before kick-off the model made it 18% Belshina, 23% draw, 59% Dinamo Minsk — fair odds of 5.56, 4.35 and 1.69.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
Published · updated
All Belarusian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Dinamo Minsk at 59%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Belshina vs Dinamo Minsk
Line-ups
- 31Pavel PrishivalkoG
- 78G. YakushevichD
- 3A. KuchinskiyD
- 6D. LazarevD
- 8V. RusenchikM
- 14V. DavydovM
- 5P. SeleznevM
- 10Y. KozlovM
- 19N. SokolovskiyM
- 21N. GolubF
- 9A. ShvedchikovF
- 77V. KovalevM
- 7A. AchapovskiyF
- 66K. BalotnikauD
- 25A. MakhmudovG
- 44D. MalashkevichD
- 15K. MalykhD
- 54N. PatsenkoG
- 4V. SolanovichD
- 27L. ZgurskiyF
- 1I. ShimakovichG
- 3M. ShvetsovD
- 67R. BegunovD
- 26V. KalininD
- 24A. VakulichD
- 13V. PolozM
- 8A. SelyavaM
- 78A. SokolovskiyM
- 30M. DjimetF
- 10K. VardanyanF
- 11G. AlykulovF
- 27M. AleksandrovD
- 17I. BakharF
- 5D. DushevskiyM
- 44G. GurbanD
- 80L. GwethF
- 12A. IvanovD
- 47A. KudravetsG
- 7E. MalashevichM
- 25A. TouréD
Form going into Belshina vs Dinamo Minsk
Belshina
Premier League
- W1-0away to Bate Borisov24 October 2026
- L2-4Slavia Mozyr19 October 2026
Dinamo Minsk
Premier League
- W2-1away to FC Gomel24 October 2026
- W2-0Arsenal Dzerzhinsk19 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Belarus Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Belshina | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 24 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 51 | 23 | +28 | 61 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Belshina vs Dinamo Minsk
- 4 April 2026Dinamo Minsk 2–0 BelshinaPremier League
- 31 January 2026Dinamo Minsk 3–2 BelshinaFriendlies Clubs
- 10 February 2024Dinamo Minsk 3–2 BelshinaFriendlies Clubs
- 26 November 2023Belshina 0–4 Dinamo MinskPremier League
- 1 July 2023Dinamo Minsk 7–2 BelshinaPremier League
- 11 February 2023Dinamo Minsk 4–0 BelshinaFriendlies Clubs
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Belshina a 30.0% chance to finish in the bottom three: 8.5% after a win, 22.4% after a draw, 37.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 37.2%, 7.2 points higher than before the match.
For Dinamo Minsk the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 27.5% going in: 35.3% after a win, 14.9% after a draw, 10.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 35.3%, 7.8 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.