28 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

National Bank of Egypt vs Al Masry Premier League prediction & result

Stadium National Bank of Egypt, Cairo
Full time1 – 1

Final score: National Bank of Egypt 1-1 Al Masry.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% National Bank of Egypt, 30% draw, 32% Al Masry — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

National Bank of Egypt at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

National Bank of Egypt4%Draw93%Al Masry3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Mostafa Dowidarout: Hisham Saleh
12'
•Anderson Santos
16'
42'
⚽Salah Mohsen (pen)
🔁Mohamed Ashraf Ben Sharqiout: Salah Abd Etouab Bouchama
45'
🔁Karim Hamedout: Yaw Annor
45'
⚽Ahmed Yasser Rayan (pen)
52'
Salah Abd Etouab Bouchama
55'
Mostafa Shalaby
61'
61'
🔁Abdellah Zianiout: Ali Sulieman
🔁Anderson Santosout: Mohamed Reda
66'
79'
🔁Salah Mohsenout: Hussein Faisal
🔁Ahmed Yasser Rayanout: Ahmed Amin Aoufa
79'
Hisham Saleh
80'
89'
🔁Mohamed El Shamyout: Amr Saadawy Salem Ismail
89'
🔁Abderrahim Deghmoumout: Ahmed Abd El Fattah Sharaf
90+2'
Yassin El Mallah

Match stats — National Bank of Egypt vs Al Masry

62%Possession38%
17Shots8
3On target4
1Corners4
1.55xG1.02

Goals against chances

National Bank of Egypt1 from 1.55 xGless than the chances were worth
Al Masry1 from 1.02 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

National Bank of Egypt 4-3-2-1
  • 27Abdel Aziz El BaloutiG
  • 24Mostafa AdelD
  • 20Amir MedhatD
  • 6Mahmoud El GazzarD
  • 12Ahmed MetebD
  • 25Mohamed AshrafM
  • 14Ali HamdyM
  • 22Anderson CearáM
  • 18K. HamedM
  • 11Mostafa ShalabyM
  • 29Ahmed Yasser RayanF
Substitutes
  • 28Hatem MohamedD
  • 70Mohamed RedaF
  • 7Hisham SalehD
  • 1Ahmed Sobhi AfifiG
  • 23Ahmed Amin AoufaF
  • 30Y. AnnorF
  • 19S. BouchamaM
  • 33Dao CyrilleD
  • 77Mohamed Gamal Mahmoud AbdelhamidM
Coach: Ayman Al Ramadi
Al Masry 4-2-3-1
  • 26Mohamed El SayedG
  • 7Karim El ErakiD
  • 2B. El MohamadyD
  • 33Mostafa Al AashD
  • 3Mohamed ShokryD
  • 4Yassin El MallahM
  • 6Mohamed MakhloufM
  • 30A. DeghmoumM
  • 11Mohamed El ShamyM
  • 27A. ZianiM
  • 9Salah MohsenF
Substitutes
  • 17Youssef El GoharyM
  • 13Amr El SaadawyD
  • 36Abdel Wahab NaderD
  • 37Ahmed Abd El Fattah SharafF
  • 21A. SuliemanF
  • 1Essam TharwatG
  • 22Mostafa Abou El KhairM
  • 32Hussein FaisalM
  • 5Khaled SobhyD
Coach: Ahmed Samy

Form going into National Bank of Egypt vs Al Masry

National Bank of Egypt

Premier League

  • D1-1away to Wadi Degla20 October 2026
  • W3-0El Geish13 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Ceramica Cleopatra14 September 2026
  • W3-1Ghazl El Mehalla7 September 2026

Al Masry

Premier League

  • D1-1Abu Qair Semad19 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Olympic El Qanah11 October 2026
  • L0-2Al Ittihad Alexandria15 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Petrojet7 September 2026

What these results say

  • National Bank of Egypt scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • National Bank of Egypt conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Al Masry did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Al Masry conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Al Masry scored in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Egypt Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8National Bank of Egypt832399011
12Al Masry8233810-29

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: National Bank of Egypt vs Al Masry

  • 3 October 2025National Bank of Egypt 0–1 Al MasryPremier League
  • 24 May 2025National Bank of Egypt 0–1 Al MasryPremier League
  • 24 March 2025National Bank of Egypt 1–1 Al MasryLeague Cup
  • 7 March 2025National Bank of Egypt 3–1 Al MasryCup
  • 12 February 2025Al Masry 0–0 National Bank of EgyptPremier League
  • 9 August 2024National Bank of Egypt 1–3 Al MasryCup

Leading scorers: National Bank of Egypt and Al Masry

National Bank of Egypt

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Al Masry

GoalsAssists

  • Salah Mohsen40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

National Bank of Egypt and Al Masry drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for National Bank of Egypt at 38% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Salah Mohsen (penalty) 42' for Al Masry, Ahmed Yasser Rayan (penalty) 52' for National Bank of Egypt. On expected goals it finished 1.55–1.02.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave National Bank of Egypt a 19.8% chance to finish in the top six: 27.7% after a win, 16.9% after a draw, 11.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 16.9%, 2.9 points lower than before the match.

For Al Masry the question was the chance to finish in the top six: 17.7% after a win, 9.2% after a draw, 5.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 9.2%.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.