28 October 2026, 12:00 UTC

FC Isloch Minsk R. vs ML Vitebsk Premier League prediction & result

SOK Olympijskij, Minsk
Full time1 – 0

Final score: FC Isloch Minsk R. 1-0 ML Vitebsk.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% FC Isloch Minsk R., 28% draw, 33% ML Vitebsk — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Isloch Minsk R. at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Isloch Minsk R.96%Draw4%ML Vitebsk0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

31'
Juan Díaz Quinta
45+1'
Artem Kontsevoy
45'
Sergei Balanovich
45'
🔁Valery Bocherovout: Silas Gnaka
🔁Vladimir Khvashchinskiyout: Anton Shramchenko
45'
⚽Adeola Junior Adeyemi Olaleye
49'
ivan tikhomirov
52'
56'
🔁Radivoj Bosićout: Bassekou Diabate
64'
🔁Denilho Cleoniseout: Aleksandar Mesarovic
64'
🔁Valeri Gromykoout: Timur Ivanov
🔁Maksim Kovalevichout: sergi abramishvili
64'
Andrei Klimovich
76'
78'
🔁Ilya Moskalenchikout: M. Bulanov
Sergey Volkov
80'
Dmitri Komarovskiy
83'
🔁Adeola Junior Adeyemi Olaleyeout: aleksandr butko
89'
90+5'
Sergei Balanovich

Match stats — FC Isloch Minsk R. vs ML Vitebsk

36%Possession64%
6Shots15
4On target9
6Corners12

Line-ups

FC Isloch Minsk R. 3-4-3
  • 1A. KlimovichG
  • 25A. MakarenkoD
  • 3I. TikhomirovD
  • 33I. SkrobotovD
  • 99E. YudchitsM
  • 7A. SvirepaM
  • 5S. VolkovM
  • 22P. ShevchenkoM
  • 19Adeola OlaleyeF
  • 10V. KhvashchinskiyF
  • 23M. KovalevichF
Substitutes
  • 70A. ButkoF
  • 11T. MartynovF
  • 77Y. KravchenkoM
  • 13G. StephenD
  • 18M. DayyabuD
  • 17S. AbramishviliM
  • 74M. SachkovskiyM
  • 8A. ShramchenkoM
  • 4Artem ShulunovD
Coach: D. Komarovskiy
ML Vitebsk 4-3-3
  • 1P. PavlyuchenkoG
  • 22Y. SkibskiyD
  • 20Z. VolkovD
  • 6K. GomanovD
  • 45I. MoskalenchikD
  • 55V. GromykoM
  • 4A. OdeM
  • 15V. BocherovM
  • 10D. CleoniseF
  • 80A. KontsevoyF
  • 12R. BosićF
Substitutes
  • 30Pavel ShcherbachenyaG
  • 3N. BaranokD
  • 5M. MohammadiD
  • 8S. GnakaM
  • 23S. BalanovichD
  • 27A. MesarovićM
  • 7T. IvanovF
  • 9B. DiabatéF
  • 99M. BulanovF
Coach: Juan Díaz

Form going into FC Isloch Minsk R. vs ML Vitebsk

FC Isloch Minsk R.

Premier League

  • W6-0away to Naftan24 October 2026
  • W4-2FC Minsk17 October 2026

ML Vitebsk

Premier League

  • W2-0away to FC Vitebsk24 October 2026
  • W1-0Neman18 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Belarus Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2FC Isloch Minsk R.2818735423+3161
1ML Vitebsk2818826119+4262

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Isloch Minsk R. vs ML Vitebsk

  • 4 April 2026ML Vitebsk 1–1 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League
  • 14 February 2026ML Vitebsk 2–1 FC Isloch Minsk R.Friendlies Clubs
  • 1 November 2025ML Vitebsk 3–1 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League
  • 15 June 2025FC Isloch Minsk R. 0–1 ML VitebskPremier League
  • 7 September 2024FC Isloch Minsk R. 0–1 ML VitebskFriendlies Clubs
  • 23 July 2023ML Vitebsk 1–4 FC Isloch Minsk R.Coppa

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Isloch Minsk R. a 6.6% chance to finish top of the regular season: 13.1% after a win, 2.0% after a draw, 0.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 13.1%, 6.5 points higher than before the match.

For ML Vitebsk the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 66.0% going in: 85.5% after a win, 67.5% after a draw, 50.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 50.5%, 15.5 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.