BK Hacken vs Vasteras SK FK Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: BK Hacken 1-3 Vasteras SK FK.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% BK Hacken, 27% draw, 19% Vasteras SK FK — fair odds of 1.85, 3.70 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
BK Hacken at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — BK Hacken vs Vasteras SK FK
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 99E. BerishaG
- 5B. WembangomoD
- 15L. VaisanenD
- 22F. HelanderD
- 23O. SamuelssonD
- 20A. SvanbackM
- 19D. SegerM
- 10M. RygaardM
- 6A. DoumbiaM
- 11J. LindbergM
- 9G. LindgrenF
- 35D. AnderssonG
- 21A. LundkvistD
- 13H. HilveniusD
- 32H. IbrahimM
- 8S. HestnesM
- 18W. LindbergM
- 27C. WawaF
- 24B. SadikuF
- 14M. HaalandM
- 34E. JagerG
- 24J. TagessonD
- 4P. BondeD
- 2H. MagnussonD
- 11S. GefvertM
- 30M. HellisdalM
- 8M. DiagneM
- 15J. KarlssonM
- 19J. MagnussonF
- 16B. LendambiF
- 17T. AxelF
- 1A. FagerstromG
- 22L. BarkD
- 3M. BaggesenD
- 14I. LushakuM
- 5K. GunnarssonM
- 32M. AbdiM
- 20M. LjungqvistD
- 7A. BoudahF
- 9C. RisbjergF
Form going into BK Hacken vs Vasteras SK FK
BK Hacken
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Sirius21 August 2026
- W1-0Halmstad17 August 2026
- L0-3away to Hammarby FF9 August 2026
- D1-1Kalmar FF1 August 2026
- D0-0AIK Stockholm27 July 2026
Vasteras SK FK
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Kalmar FF23 August 2026
- L0-3away to IF Elfsborg14 August 2026
- W1-0Djurgardens IF10 August 2026
- L0-6away to Djurgardens IF3 August 2026
- W2-0Orgryte IS24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BK Hacken | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 50 | 33 | +17 | 49 |
| 6 | Vasteras SK FK | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 38 | +2 | 45 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: BK Hacken vs Vasteras SK FK
- 22 April 2026Vasteras SK FK 3–3 BK HackenAllsvenskan
- 1 March 2026BK Hacken 4–1 Vasteras SK FKSvenska Cupen
- 28 July 2024BK Hacken 4–0 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan
- 8 July 2024Vasteras SK FK 1–2 BK HackenAllsvenskan
- 20 March 2021BK Hacken 3–0 Vasteras SK FKSvenska Cupen
Leading scorers: BK Hacken and Vasteras SK FK
BK Hacken
GoalsAssists
- G. Lindgren132
- Julius Lindberg98
- A. Svanbäck88
Vasteras SK FK
GoalsAssists
- A. Taonsa102
- M. Ladefoged92
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Vasteras SK FK won 3–1 at BK Hacken. The model had leaned towards a win for BK Hacken at 54% and given a win for Vasteras SK FK 19%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: S. Gefvert 34' for Vasteras SK FK, B. Lendambi 38' for Vasteras SK FK, M. Hellisdal 61' for Vasteras SK FK, C. Wawa 78' for BK Hacken. Sent off: Leo Väisänen (BK Hacken) 42'. On expected goals it finished 2.16–2.27.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.