29 August 2026, 13:00 UTC

BK Hacken vs Vasteras SK FK Allsvenskan prediction & result

Nordic Wellness Arena
Full time1 – 3

Final score: BK Hacken 1-3 Vasteras SK FK.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% BK Hacken, 27% draw, 19% Vasteras SK FK — fair odds of 1.85, 3.70 and 5.26.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

BK Hacken at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

BK Hacken0%Draw1%Vasteras SK FK99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

16'
Bonaventure Lendambi
Abdoulaye Doumbia
33'
34'
⚽S. Gefvert
38'
⚽B. Lendambiassist: M. Hellisdal
Leo Väisänen
42'
🔁D. Segerout: A. Lundkvist
46'
61'
⚽M. Hellisdal
🔁M. Rygaardout: S. Hestnes
63'
🔁G. Lindgrenout: M. Haaland
63'
63'
🔁B. Lendambiout: A. Boudah
68'
🔁J. Tagessonout: M. Baggesen
68'
🔁M. Hellisdalout: I. Lushaku
68'
🔁J. Magnussonout: K. Gunnarsson
🔁A. Svanbackout: C. Wawa
74'
⚽C. Wawaassist: A. Doumbia
78'
🔁J. Lindbergout: W. Lindberg
85'
Etrit Berisha
89'
89'
🔁M. Diagneout: M. Abdi

Match stats — BK Hacken vs Vasteras SK FK

49%Possession51%
16Shots16
8On target8
5Corners3
2.16xG2.27

Goals against chances

BK Hacken1 from 2.16 xGless than the chances were worth
Vasteras SK FK3 from 2.27 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

BK Hacken 4-5-1
  • 99E. BerishaG
  • 5B. WembangomoD
  • 15L. VaisanenD
  • 22F. HelanderD
  • 23O. SamuelssonD
  • 20A. SvanbackM
  • 19D. SegerM
  • 10M. RygaardM
  • 6A. DoumbiaM
  • 11J. LindbergM
  • 9G. LindgrenF
Substitutes
  • 35D. AnderssonG
  • 21A. LundkvistD
  • 13H. HilveniusD
  • 32H. IbrahimM
  • 8S. HestnesM
  • 18W. LindbergM
  • 27C. WawaF
  • 24B. SadikuF
  • 14M. HaalandM
Coach: Jens Gustafsson
Vasteras SK FK 3-4-3
  • 34E. JagerG
  • 24J. TagessonD
  • 4P. BondeD
  • 2H. MagnussonD
  • 11S. GefvertM
  • 30M. HellisdalM
  • 8M. DiagneM
  • 15J. KarlssonM
  • 19J. MagnussonF
  • 16B. LendambiF
  • 17T. AxelF
Substitutes
  • 1A. FagerstromG
  • 22L. BarkD
  • 3M. BaggesenD
  • 14I. LushakuM
  • 5K. GunnarssonM
  • 32M. AbdiM
  • 20M. LjungqvistD
  • 7A. BoudahF
  • 9C. RisbjergF
Coach: Alexander Rubin

Form going into BK Hacken vs Vasteras SK FK

BK Hacken

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0away to Sirius21 August 2026
  • W1-0Halmstad17 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Hammarby FF9 August 2026
  • D1-1Kalmar FF1 August 2026
  • D0-0AIK Stockholm27 July 2026

Vasteras SK FK

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Kalmar FF23 August 2026
  • L0-3away to IF Elfsborg14 August 2026
  • W1-0Djurgardens IF10 August 2026
  • L0-6away to Djurgardens IF3 August 2026
  • W2-0Orgryte IS24 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4BK Hacken28131055033+1749
6Vasteras SK FK2813694038+245

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: BK Hacken vs Vasteras SK FK

  • 22 April 2026Vasteras SK FK 3–3 BK HackenAllsvenskan
  • 1 March 2026BK Hacken 4–1 Vasteras SK FKSvenska Cupen
  • 28 July 2024BK Hacken 4–0 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan
  • 8 July 2024Vasteras SK FK 1–2 BK HackenAllsvenskan
  • 20 March 2021BK Hacken 3–0 Vasteras SK FKSvenska Cupen

Leading scorers: BK Hacken and Vasteras SK FK

BK Hacken

GoalsAssists

  • G. Lindgren132
  • Julius Lindberg98
  • A. Svanbäck88

Vasteras SK FK

GoalsAssists

  • A. Taonsa102
  • M. Ladefoged92

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Vasteras SK FK won 3–1 at BK Hacken. The model had leaned towards a win for BK Hacken at 54% and given a win for Vasteras SK FK 19%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: S. Gefvert 34' for Vasteras SK FK, B. Lendambi 38' for Vasteras SK FK, M. Hellisdal 61' for Vasteras SK FK, C. Wawa 78' for BK Hacken. Sent off: Leo Väisänen (BK Hacken) 42'. On expected goals it finished 2.16–2.27.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.