29 August 2026, 20:00 UTC

Rosario Central vs Gimnasia La Plata Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Rosario Central 1-2 Gimnasia La Plata.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Rosario Central, 25% draw, 34% Gimnasia La Plata — fair odds of 2.44, 4.00 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Rosario Central at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

32'
Nacho Fernández
•Marco Rubén
33'
Ignacio Ovando
45+2'
🔁A. Sandezout: A. Soto
46'
🔁I. Ovandoout: F. Mallo Blanco
46'
53'
🔁M. Zalazarout: F. Torres
59'
⚽C. Ledesma (OG)
🔁G. Cantizanoout: F. Navarro
67'
🔁V. Pizarroout: E. Copetti
67'
70'
🔁A. Auzmendiout: A. Colazo
71'
🔁L. Jansonout: R. Giampaoli
76'
Ignacio Miramón
Federico Navarro
78'
🔁M. Rubenout: T. Badaloni
83'
⚽J. Campazassist: T. Badaloni
86'
88'
⚽I. Miramon
89'
🔁N. Fernandezout: A. Max
90+2'
Bautista Barros Schelotto
90'
🔁M. Seoaneout: M. Panaro

Match stats — Rosario Central vs Gimnasia La Plata

68%Possession32%
14Shots11
7On target3
10Corners3
0.58xG0.38

Goals against chances

Rosario Central1 from 0.58 xGabout what the chances were worth
Gimnasia La Plata2 from 0.38 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Rosario Central 4-2-3-1
  • 23C. LedesmaG
  • 32E. CoronelD
  • 46I. OvandoD
  • 13G. AvilaD
  • 3A. SandezD
  • 5F. IbarraM
  • 20V. PizarroM
  • 26G. CantizanoM
  • 11A. Di MariaM
  • 8J. CampazM
  • 9M. RubenF
Substitutes
  • 1A. WernerG
  • 33A. SotoD
  • 15F. Mallo BlancoD
  • 2S. ZarachoD
  • 42E. VeronD
  • 31F. NavarroM
  • 88A. RodriguezM
  • 28P. FernandezM
  • 10F. CerviM
Coach: Jorge Almiron
Gimnasia La Plata 4-2-3-1
  • 23N. InsfranG
  • 31B. Barros SchelottoD
  • 13German ContiD
  • 21E. MartinezD
  • 24P. Silva TorrejonD
  • 5I. MiramonM
  • 18M. SeoaneM
  • 17L. JansonM
  • 8N. FernandezM
  • 9M. ZalazarM
  • 29A. AuzmendiF
Substitutes
  • 27J. KadijevicG
  • 22M. MellusoD
  • 4R. GiampaoliD
  • 42S. VillarrealM
  • 36L. LamellaD
  • 16A. MaxM
  • 10N. SchelottoM
  • 20J. PerezM
  • 33P. AguiarM
Coach: Mariano Messera

Form going into Rosario Central vs Gimnasia La Plata

Rosario Central

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2away to Talleres Cordoba25 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Barracas Central16 August 2026
  • W2-1Aldosivi7 August 2026
  • W1-0away to River Plate2 August 2026
  • D0-0Racing Club29 July 2026

Gimnasia La Plata

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3Gimnasia Mendoza22 August 2026
  • L0-4away to Estudiantes La Plata15 August 2026
  • W2-0Barracas Central9 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Aldosivi2 August 2026
  • W1-0River Plate29 July 2026

What these results say

  • Rosario Central went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Rosario Central scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Gimnasia La Plata scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Rosario Central1610422612+1434
3Gimnasia La Plata169432520+531

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rosario Central vs Gimnasia La Plata

  • 25 February 2026Gimnasia La Plata 1–2 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 27 September 2025Gimnasia La Plata 0–3 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 15 March 2025Rosario Central 2–1 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 5 August 2024Gimnasia La Plata 0–1 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 18 February 2024Rosario Central 2–1 Gimnasia La PlataCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 23 September 2023Gimnasia La Plata 2–1 Rosario CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional

The full Rosario Central vs Gimnasia La Plata record →

Leading scorers: Rosario Central and Gimnasia La Plata

Rosario Central

GoalsAssists

  • Á. Di María115
  • G. Ávila73

Gimnasia La Plata

GoalsAssists

  • M. Torres102
  • A. Auzmendi84

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Gimnasia La Plata won 2–1 at Rosario Central. The model had leaned towards a win for Rosario Central at 41% and given a win for Gimnasia La Plata 34%. The goals: C. Ledesma (own goal) 59' for Gimnasia La Plata, J. Campaz 86' for Rosario Central, I. Miramon 88' for Gimnasia La Plata. On expected goals it finished 0.58–0.38.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.