29 August 2026, 20:00 UTC

Rosario Central vs Gimnasia La Plata Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Rosario Central 1-2 Gimnasia La Plata.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Rosario Central, 25% draw, 34% Gimnasia La Plata — fair odds of 2.44, 4.00 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Rosario Central at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Rosario Central vs Gimnasia La Plata

Rosario Central

  • D2-2away to Talleres Cordoba25 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Barracas Central16 August 2026
  • W2-1Aldosivi7 August 2026
  • W1-0away to River Plate2 August 2026
  • D0-0Racing Club29 July 2026

Gimnasia La Plata

  • L2-3Gimnasia Mendoza22 August 2026
  • L0-4away to Estudiantes La Plata15 August 2026
  • W2-0Barracas Central9 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Aldosivi2 August 2026
  • W1-0River Plate29 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Rosario Central vs Gimnasia La Plata

  • 25 February 2026Gimnasia La Plata 1–2 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 27 September 2025Gimnasia La Plata 0–3 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 15 March 2025Rosario Central 2–1 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 5 August 2024Gimnasia La Plata 0–1 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 18 February 2024Rosario Central 2–1 Gimnasia La PlataCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 23 September 2023Gimnasia La Plata 2–1 Rosario CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional

Leading scorers: Rosario Central and Gimnasia La Plata

Rosario Central

  • Á. Di María8 goals4 assists

Gimnasia La Plata

  • M. Torres8 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.