Halmstad vs Kalmar FF Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Halmstad 1-0 Kalmar FF.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Halmstad, 29% draw, 35% Kalmar FF — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Halmstad at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Halmstad vs Kalmar FF
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1T. RonningG
- 17A. BomanD
- 5P. GregorD
- 3G. WallentinD
- 24R. KaibD
- 19M. IllaryM
- 8N. MaenpaaM
- 28T. TrybullM
- 14H. CarneilM
- 27R. AsconeF
- 9O. FarajF
- 35A. WihedG
- 4F. SchybergD
- 16E. TougjasD
- 6J. AllanssonM
- 25A. DamnjanovicM
- 23A. ZeljkovicF
- 22O. KapsimalisF
- 11L. ArvidssonF
- 18M. PerssonF
- 1S. BrolinG
- 2V. LarssonD
- 39L. SaetraD
- 20A. AlmqvistD
- 3S. OverbyD
- 10M. SoderbackM
- 23R. GojaniM
- 5M. HallbergM
- 24C. Sagoe JrM
- 13C. RosenqvistF
- 19E. DallF
- 32C. AnderssonG
- 12Z. RavikD
- 27K. BjorklundM
- 21A. MagashyM
- 7N. ChourakM
- 25N. ShamounM
- 9M. StoltF
- 70Emeka NnamaniF
Form going into Halmstad vs Kalmar FF
Halmstad
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Orgryte IS22 August 2026
- L0-1away to BK Hacken17 August 2026
- L0-2Gais9 August 2026
- L0-2Sirius3 August 2026
- D1-1away to Gais26 July 2026
Kalmar FF
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Vasteras SK FK23 August 2026
- L0-4Hammarby FF16 August 2026
- L2-3away to IFK Goteborg9 August 2026
- D1-1away to BK Hacken1 August 2026
- W2-1Mjallby AIF25 July 2026
What these results say
- Halmstad did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Halmstad conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Halmstad had two goals or fewer.
- Kalmar FF failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Kalmar FF conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Halmstad | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 20 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Halmstad vs Kalmar FF
- 10 May 2026Kalmar FF 2–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 13 March 2026Halmstad 0–4 Kalmar FFFriendlies Clubs
- 21 March 2025Kalmar FF 0–1 HalmstadFriendlies Clubs
- 26 September 2024Halmstad 2–2 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
- 4 May 2024Kalmar FF 5–2 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 5 November 2023Halmstad 3–0 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
The result against the call
Halmstad beat Kalmar FF 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Halmstad at 36%. The goal: L. Arvidsson 90' for Halmstad. On expected goals it finished 1.15–1.74.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.