IF Elfsborg vs Degerfors IF Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: IF Elfsborg 2-0 Degerfors IF.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% IF Elfsborg, 28% draw, 25% Degerfors IF — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
IF Elfsborg at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — IF Elfsborg vs Degerfors IF
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31I. PetterssonG
- 16A. JensenD
- 6R. WikstromD
- 4T. IsherwoodD
- 23N. HultD
- 18J. MagnussonM
- 5O. NordvallM
- 29M. KamaraM
- 19J. BeckM
- 9A. ZeneliM
- 21L. OstmanF
- 1T. ErlandssonG
- 12T. SanderG
- 2R. MohammedD
- 15S. HedlundM
- 25A. SigurpalssonF
- 22D. KrasniqiF
- 24F. IhlerF
- 14G. GunnarssonF
- 11T. SilverholtF
- 38M. IgonenG
- 16S. OhlssonD
- 2A. FaqaD
- 3N. SkusethD
- 18S. DiataraD
- 8B. HusseinM
- 23R. DzabicM
- 22N. GirmaiM
- 20E. BarsoumM
- 17A. TaranisF
- 11D. VukojevicF
- 1W. JakobssonG
- 15N. MoroD
- 7S. OhlssonD
- 6D. SundgrenD
- 28J. HernandezD
- 14L. FritzsonF
- 13G. YiriyonM
- 4K. KarlssonM
- 9K. BouteraF
Form going into IF Elfsborg vs Degerfors IF
IF Elfsborg
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to IFK Goteborg23 August 2026
- W3-0Vasteras SK FK14 August 2026
- W1-0away to Mjallby AIF8 August 2026
- W2-1away to Malmo FF26 July 2026
- L1-3Sirius19 July 2026
Degerfors IF
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to IF Brommapojkarna23 August 2026
- W3-0IFK Goteborg16 August 2026
- W2-1away to Malmo FF9 August 2026
- L0-2away to IFK Goteborg2 August 2026
- L0-1Djurgardens IF25 July 2026
What these results say
- IF Elfsborg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Degerfors IF conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 42 | 31 | +11 | 46 |
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: IF Elfsborg vs Degerfors IF
- 17 April 2026Degerfors IF 0–1 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
- 27 September 2025IF Elfsborg 1–2 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan
- 19 April 2025Degerfors IF 0–1 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
- 15 March 2025IF Elfsborg 4–1 Degerfors IFFriendlies Clubs
- 3 March 2024IF Elfsborg 2–2 Degerfors IFSvenska Cupen
Leading scorers: IF Elfsborg and Degerfors IF
IF Elfsborg
GoalsAssists
- L. Ãstman112
Degerfors IF
No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 23 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
IF Elfsborg beat Degerfors IF 2–0. The model had made a win for IF Elfsborg its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: L. Ostman 13' for IF Elfsborg, A. Sigurpalsson 87' for IF Elfsborg. On expected goals it finished 1.40–0.16.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.