Boca Juniors vs Lanus Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Boca Juniors 1-0 Lanus.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Boca Juniors, 26% draw, 35% Lanus — fair odds of 2.56, 3.85 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Boca Juniors at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Boca Juniors vs Lanus
Boca Juniors
- D1-1away to Racing Club24 August 2026
- D1-1away to Platense16 August 2026
Lanus
- D1-1Argentinos Juniors25 August 2026
- L1-3Independiente17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 | Lanus | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Boca Juniors vs Lanus
- 5 March 2026Lanus 0–3 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 May 2025Boca Juniors 0–0 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
- 3 November 2024Lanus 1–0 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 19 February 2024Lanus 2–1 Boca JuniorsCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 23 September 2023Boca Juniors 1–1 LanusCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 10 June 2023Boca Juniors 1–1 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Boca Juniors and Lanus
Boca Juniors
- M. Merentiel6 goals2 assists
Lanus
- D. Aquino6 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.