Boca Juniors vs Lanus Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Boca Juniors 1-0 Lanus.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Boca Juniors, 26% draw, 35% Lanus — fair odds of 2.56, 3.85 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Boca Juniors at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Boca Juniors vs Lanus
Line-ups
- 1A. MonteroG
- 24D. GorositoD
- 2L. Di LolloD
- 42F. HerreraD
- 3L. BlancoD
- 25S. AscacibarM
- 23C. Rey DomenechM
- 18M. DelgadoM
- 19L. FloresF
- 16Miguel MerentielF
- 20A. VelascoF
- 12L. BreyG
- 4J. FigalD
- 46M. SatasD
- 5L. ParedesM
- 8T. BelmonteM
- 21K. ZenonM
- 7Carlos PalaciosF
- 15W. H. Alarcon CepedaM
- 11Angel RomeroF
- 26N. LosadaG
- 33T. GuidaraD
- 24C. IzquierdozD
- 13J. CanaleD
- 6S. MarcichD
- 5F. Pena BiaforeM
- 30A. CardozoM
- 11E. SalvioM
- 8F. N. WatsonM
- 25D. AquinoM
- 19Y. ValoisF
- 1F. PetroliG
- 4G. PerezD
- 35R. De JesusD
- 3N. MorgantiniD
- 27F. SanchezD
- 40T. LopezD
- 16M. SepulvedaM
- 17A. MedinaM
- 20A. WlkF
Form going into Boca Juniors vs Lanus
Boca Juniors
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Racing Club24 August 2026
- D1-1away to Platense16 August 2026
- D1-1Velez Sarsfield8 August 2026
- W1-0Estudiantes La Plata5 August 2026
- D2-2away to Newell's Old Boys2 August 2026
Lanus
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Argentinos Juniors25 August 2026
- L1-3Independiente17 August 2026
- W3-0away to Talleres Cordoba12 August 2026
- L1-2away to Union Santa Fe6 August 2026
- L0-1Instituto Cordoba3 August 2026
What these results say
- Boca Juniors went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Boca Juniors scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Boca Juniors failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Lanus failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Lanus scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Lanus conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 14 | +10 | 33 |
| 5 | Lanus | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Boca Juniors vs Lanus
- 5 March 2026Lanus 0–3 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 May 2025Boca Juniors 0–0 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
- 3 November 2024Lanus 1–0 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 19 February 2024Lanus 2–1 Boca JuniorsCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 23 September 2023Boca Juniors 1–1 LanusCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 10 June 2023Boca Juniors 1–1 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Boca Juniors and Lanus
Boca Juniors
GoalsAssists
- M. Merentiel92
Lanus
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Boca Juniors beat Lanus 1–0. The model had made a win for Boca Juniors its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: T. Belmonte 90' for Boca Juniors.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.