Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Velez Sarsfield.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Deportivo Riestra, 24% draw, 22% Velez Sarsfield — fair odds of 1.85, 4.17 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Deportivo Riestra at 54% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield
Deportivo Riestra
- D0-0away to Huracan23 August 2026
- L0-2away to Newell's Old Boys15 August 2026
Velez Sarsfield
- D2-2away to River Plate23 August 2026
- D1-1Defensa Y Justicia17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield
- 25 February 2026Velez Sarsfield 0–0 Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
- 6 October 2025Deportivo Riestra 2–2 Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
- 29 March 2025Velez Sarsfield 0–1 Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 November 2024Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
- 15 February 2024Deportivo Riestra 1–2 Velez SarsfieldCopa de la Liga Profesional
Leading scorers: Deportivo Riestra and Velez Sarsfield
Deportivo Riestra
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Velez Sarsfield
- M. Lanzini6 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.