29 August 2026, 17:45 UTC

Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Guillermo Laza, Buenos Aires
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Velez Sarsfield.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Deportivo Riestra, 24% draw, 22% Velez Sarsfield — fair odds of 1.85, 4.17 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Deportivo Riestra at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Facundo Miño
31'
37'
Lucas Robertone
🔁A. Alonsoout: T. Gonzalez
46'
⚽T. Gonzalezassist: M. Bracamonte
54'
🔁B. Sanchezout: N. Watson
60'
Nicolás Benegas
67'
69'
🔁L. Robertoneout: L. Feler
69'
🔁A. Veronout: T. Aguirre
🔁N. Benegasout: P. Monje
72'
76'
⚽F. Mino (OG)
🔁J. Goitiaout: A. Diaz
81'
88'
•Dilan Godoy
90+6'
🔁out: L. Piola

Match stats — Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield

24%Possession76%
7Shots12
3On target5
2Corners6
0.63xG0.53

Goals against chances

Deportivo Riestra1 from 0.63 xGabout what the chances were worth
Velez Sarsfield1 from 0.53 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Deportivo Riestra 5-3-2
  • 1I. ArceG
  • 36M. BracamonteD
  • 24F. MinoD
  • 22C. PazD
  • 6I. GariglioD
  • 15N. SansotreD
  • 10B. SanchezM
  • 8M. CelizM
  • 27J. GoitiaM
  • 9N. BenegasF
  • 7A. AlonsoF
Substitutes
  • 23M. ArzamendiaG
  • 4Murillo YaisonD
  • 5P. RamirezD
  • 13R. GalloD
  • 16N. WatsonM
  • 14P. MonjeM
  • 29A. GranerosF
  • 35A. StringaF
  • 17A. AlmadaM
Coach: Gustavo Benitez
Velez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1
  • 1T. MarchioriG
  • 4J. GarciaD
  • 32T. SilveroD
  • 2E. MammanaD
  • 3E. GomezD
  • 29R. AliendroM
  • 8L. RobertoneM
  • 11M. PellegriniM
  • 22M. LanziniM
  • 17A. VeronM
  • 15D. GodoyF
Substitutes
  • 23F. SanguinettiG
  • 16L. MagallanD
  • 19L. CristaldoD
  • 18S. EscobarD
  • 47A. PereyraD
  • 5C. BaezaM
  • 48L. FelerM
  • 35M. AriasF
  • 39T. AguirreF
Coach: Guilermo Barros Schelotto

Form going into Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield

Deportivo Riestra

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to Huracan23 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Newell's Old Boys15 August 2026
  • W2-0Estudiantes La Plata8 August 2026
  • L0-1Barracas Central2 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Defensa Y Justicia29 July 2026

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2away to River Plate23 August 2026
  • D1-1Defensa Y Justicia17 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Boca Juniors8 August 2026
  • W1-0Independiente3 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Talleres Cordoba30 July 2026

What these results say

  • Deportivo Riestra failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Deportivo Riestra had two goals or fewer.
  • Velez Sarsfield went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Velez Sarsfield scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Velez Sarsfield conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Deportivo Riestra162681119-812
3Velez Sarsfield167722517+828

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield

  • 25 February 2026Velez Sarsfield 0–0 Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 6 October 2025Deportivo Riestra 2–2 Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 29 March 2025Velez Sarsfield 0–1 Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 11 November 2024Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 15 February 2024Deportivo Riestra 1–2 Velez SarsfieldCopa de la Liga Profesional

The full Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield record →

Leading scorers: Deportivo Riestra and Velez Sarsfield

Deportivo Riestra

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Velez Sarsfield

GoalsAssists

  • R. Martínez132

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Deportivo Riestra and Velez Sarsfield drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Deportivo Riestra at 54% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: T. Gonzalez 54' for Deportivo Riestra, F. Mino (own goal) 76' for Velez Sarsfield. On expected goals it finished 0.63–0.53.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.