Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka Premijer Liga prediction & result
Final score: Borac Banja Luka 2-0 BSK Banja Luka.
Before kick-off the model made it 76% Borac Banja Luka, 15% draw, 9% BSK Banja Luka — fair odds of 1.32, 6.67 and 11.11.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Borac Banja Luka at 76%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
Premijer Liga
- W3-2away to Siroki Brijeg20 September 2026
BSK Banja Luka
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premijer Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 10 | +17 | 31 |
| 5 | BSK Banja Luka | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Borac Banja Luka and BSK Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
GoalsAssists
- L. Juričić62
- A. Roguljić20
- A. Hiroš12
BSK Banja Luka
GoalsAssists
- D. Čavić31
- S. Marčetić20
- D. Dizdarevic11
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Borac Banja Luka beat BSK Banja Luka 2–0. The model had made a win for Borac Banja Luka its most likely outcome, at 76%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–0. The goals: L. Juricic 54' for Borac Banja Luka, M. Deket 78' for Borac Banja Luka.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Borac Banja Luka a 60.2% chance to win the league: 61.6% after a win, 51.4% after a draw, 50.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 61.6%, 1.4 points higher than before the match.
For BSK Banja Luka the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 42.0% going in: 32.3% after a win, 37.7% after a draw, 43.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 43.1%, 1.1 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Premijer Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Borac Banja Luka v BSK Banja Luka has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 66% / 20% / 14% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 76% / 15% / 9%: the biggest move is Borac Banja Luka's chance of winning, up 10 points.
- Borac Banja Luka win76%▲ +10
- Draw15%▼ −5
- BSK Banja Luka win9%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.