Borac Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina Premijer Liga prediction & result
Final score: Borac Banja Luka 4-1 Radnik Bijeljina.
Before kick-off the model made it 74% Borac Banja Luka, 16% draw, 10% Radnik Bijeljina — fair odds of 1.35, 6.25 and 10.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Borac Banja Luka at 74%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 72Mladen JurkasG
- 4Branimir CipetićD
- 3Abel PascualD
- 24Jurich CarolinaD
- 20Erik RiđanD
- 18Miloš JojićM
- 77Stefan SavićM
- 10David VukovićM
- 12Amer HirošM
- 17Omar SijarićM
- 99Daniel RomeraF
- 44Ante RoguljićM
- 19Viktor RoganD
- 98Sandi OgrinecM
- 89Matej DeketF
- 9Karlo PerićF
- 1Damjan SiskovskiG
- 2Bart MeijersD
- 6Siniša SaničaninD
- 16Sebastian HerreraD
- 1Dušan MarkovićG
- 16Božidar DimitrićD
- 18Igor SpaićM
- 5Blondon Meyapya FongainD
- 26Đorđe ĆosićD
- 32Mateo AndačićD
- 7Indy BoonenM
- 88Luca MihaiM
- 17Luka CvetićaninM
- 99Antoine DesouzaF
- 3Slaviša RadovićD
- 11Ognjen KlenpićM
- 70Ateef KonateM
- 20Vladimir BradonjićM
- 10Emanuel ČrnkoM
- 23Mirko VukovićM
- 27Vedran KjoševskiG
- 22Mustafa ŠukilovićD
- 85Patrik KlančirD
- 19Huso KarjaševićM
Form going into Borac Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina
Borac Banja Luka
Premijer Liga
- W4-2away to Čelik31 October 2026
- W2-0Sloga Doboj25 October 2026
- W2-0BSK Banja Luka10 October 2026
- W3-2away to Siroki Brijeg20 September 2026
Radnik Bijeljina
Premijer Liga
- W2-0Siroki Brijeg31 October 2026
- L0-1away to Zrinjski23 October 2026
- D1-1FK Sarajevo17 October 2026
- W3-1Zeljeznicar Sarajevo11 October 2026
What these results say
- Borac Banja Luka won every one of these 4 matches.
- Borac Banja Luka scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Radnik Bijeljina scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Radnik Bijeljina conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Radnik Bijeljina had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premijer Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 10 | +17 | 31 |
| 9 | Radnik Bijeljina | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Borac Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina
- 26 September 2026Borac Banja Luka 4–3 Radnik BijeljinaFriendlies Clubs
- 30 August 2026Radnik Bijeljina 2–2 Borac Banja LukaPremijer Liga
- 22 May 2026Radnik Bijeljina 0–0 Borac Banja LukaPremijer Liga
- 21 March 2026Borac Banja Luka 1–0 Radnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga
- 3 December 2025Radnik Bijeljina 0–1 Borac Banja LukaPremijer Liga
- 20 September 2025Borac Banja Luka 5–1 Radnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga
Leading scorers: Borac Banja Luka and Radnik Bijeljina
Borac Banja Luka
GoalsAssists
- L. Juričić62
- A. Roguljić20
- A. Hiroš12
Radnik Bijeljina
GoalsAssists
- D. Teodorović21
- V. Bradonjić20
- M. Ghorzi11
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Borac Banja Luka beat Radnik Bijeljina 4–1. The model had made a win for Borac Banja Luka its most likely outcome, at 74%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: A. Pascual 31' for Borac Banja Luka, D. Romera 36' for Borac Banja Luka, D. Vukovic 53' for Borac Banja Luka, D. Romera 67' for Borac Banja Luka, O. Klenpic 69' for Radnik Bijeljina.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Borac Banja Luka a 31.9% chance to win the league: 32.9% after a win, 27.8% after a draw, 26.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 32.9%, 1 points higher than before the match.
For Radnik Bijeljina the question was the chance to finish in the bottom two, 16.9% going in: 9.5% after a win, 14.5% after a draw, 17.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 17.8%, 0.9 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Premijer Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.