Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka Premijer Liga prediction & result
Final score: Sloga Doboj 1-3 BSK Banja Luka.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Sloga Doboj, 27% draw, 43% BSK Banja Luka — fair odds of 3.33, 3.70 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
BSK Banja Luka at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Pere GarcíaG
- 2Jasmin ČelikovićD
- 5Pablo JaquezD
- 3Roberto CorralD
- 44Milan SavićM
- 8Fernan Ferreiroa LopezM
- 23Dani MolinaM
- 14Ajdin RedžićM
- 11FerniM
- 92Toni JovićM
- 19Sergej DamjanicM
- 28Milan MilanovićD
- 22ChucaM
- 25Bojan PavlovićG
- 4Niko BozickovicD
- 29Nikola PejovićD
- 7Jorge Bolivar CanoM
- 10Mladen VeselinovićM
- 13Darko SavićM
- 55Ognjen ŠešlakM
- 31Srđan ModićG
- 30Domagoj ČulinaD
- 20Zoran KvržićD
- 5Diouf Cherif AtabD
- 18Aleksandar SubićD
- 14Ognjen RadoševićM
- 24Fedor PredragovićM
- 32Juraj LjubićM
- 28Denis DizdarevicM
- 49Stefan MarčetićF
- 22David ČavićM
- 77Aleksa StuparG
- 17Filip RačićD
- 21Milijan KovacevicD
- 26Nebojša RunićD
- 55Saša MarjanovićD
- 7Nedim KeranovicM
- 10David GavricM
- 11Danko RadićM
- 19Marko BundaloM
Form going into Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka
Sloga Doboj
Premijer Liga
- L0-1Velež1 November 2026
- L0-2away to Borac Banja Luka25 October 2026
- L0-1Siroki Brijeg16 October 2026
- L2-6Zrinjski11 October 2026
BSK Banja Luka
Premijer Liga
- D1-1FK Sarajevo1 November 2026
- W3-2away to Velež25 October 2026
- D1-1Zeljeznicar Sarajevo17 October 2026
- L0-2away to Borac Banja Luka10 October 2026
What these results say
- Sloga Doboj did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Sloga Doboj conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Sloga Doboj failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- BSK Banja Luka conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- BSK Banja Luka failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- BSK Banja Luka scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premijer Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sloga Doboj | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
| 5 | BSK Banja Luka | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sloga Doboj vs BSK Banja Luka
- 29 August 2026BSK Banja Luka 0–1 Sloga DobojPremijer Liga
Leading scorers: Sloga Doboj and BSK Banja Luka
Sloga Doboj
No player in Premijer Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
BSK Banja Luka
GoalsAssists
- D. Čavić31
- S. Marčetić20
- D. Dizdarevic11
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
BSK Banja Luka won 3–1 at Sloga Doboj. The model had made a win for BSK Banja Luka its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: A. Redzic 10' for Sloga Doboj, M. Savic 78' for BSK Banja Luka, N. Keranovic 80' for BSK Banja Luka, S. Marcetic 88' for BSK Banja Luka.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sloga Doboj a 82.6% chance to finish in the bottom two: 76.9% after a win, 82.4% after a draw, 87.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 87.0%, 4.4 points higher than before the match.
For BSK Banja Luka the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 25.4% going in: 29.3% after a win, 23.2% after a draw, 20.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 29.3%, 3.9 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Premijer Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Sloga Doboj v BSK Banja Luka has moved
First published on 24 Oct at 34% / 27% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 30% / 27% / 43%: the biggest move is Sloga Doboj's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Sloga Doboj win30%▼ −4
- Draw27%=
- BSK Banja Luka win43%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.