Zrinjski vs FK Sarajevo Premijer Liga prediction & result
Final score: Zrinjski 0-0 FK Sarajevo.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% Zrinjski, 26% draw, 17% FK Sarajevo — fair odds of 1.75, 3.85 and 5.88.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Zrinjski at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 18Goran KaračićG
- 19Marko VranjkovićD
- 15Karlo StapićD
- 4Hrvoje BarišićD
- 12Petar MamićD
- 20Antonio IvančićM
- 6Igor SavićM
- 77Karlo AbramovićM
- 8Ivica VidovićM
- 17Antonio IlićM
- 99Nemanja BilbijaF
- 26Stefan CvetkovićM
- 21Viktor GrbićD
- 42Marijan ĆavarM
- 27Slobodan JakovljevićD
- 31Zvonimir ŠubarićG
- 37Darick Kobie MorrisD
- 24Toma PalićD
- 80Hamza LjukovacM
- 10Mario ČuićM
- 31Ivan BanićG
- 27Luka HujberD
- 18Matija GlogovacD
- 6Jovan IvaniševićD
- 22Amar BeganovićD
- 20Agon EleziM
- 8Antonio GalešićM
- 70Selmir PidroD
- 7Ivan ŠarićM
- 11Francis KyeremehM
- 77Mihael KuprešakM
- 2Shane MaroodzaD
- 24Filip ŽivkovićM
- 99Bartol BarišićF
- 59Gojko CimirotM
- 23Jonathan AgyekumF
- 13Sanin MusijaG
- 17Filip KosiD
- 14Vedad LetoM
- Muhamed DrecaM
Form going into Zrinjski vs FK Sarajevo
Zrinjski
Premijer Liga
- W4-0away to Zeljeznicar Sarajevo31 October 2026
- W1-0Radnik Bijeljina23 October 2026
- W3-0away to Čelik18 October 2026
- W6-2away to Sloga Doboj11 October 2026
FK Sarajevo
Premijer Liga
- D1-1away to BSK Banja Luka1 November 2026
- W2-0Zeljeznicar Sarajevo24 October 2026
- D1-1away to Radnik Bijeljina17 October 2026
- D0-0away to Čelik11 October 2026
What these results say
- Zrinjski won every one of these 4 matches.
- Zrinjski scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Zrinjski kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FK Sarajevo went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for FK Sarajevo had two goals or fewer.
- FK Sarajevo failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premijer Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 34 |
| 3 | FK Sarajevo | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zrinjski vs FK Sarajevo
- 29 August 2026FK Sarajevo 0–1 ZrinjskiPremijer Liga
- 4 July 2026Zrinjski 2–1 FK SarajevoFriendlies Clubs
- 11 April 2026FK Sarajevo 2–1 ZrinjskiPremijer Liga
- 18 March 2026Zrinjski 0–0 FK SarajevoSuper Cup
- 14 December 2025Zrinjski 0–1 FK SarajevoPremijer Liga
- 6 October 2025FK Sarajevo 1–1 ZrinjskiPremijer Liga
Leading scorers: Zrinjski and FK Sarajevo
Zrinjski
GoalsAssists
- A. Ilic31
- N. Bilbija31
- M. Ćuže20
FK Sarajevo
GoalsAssists
- R. Caraballo20
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Zrinjski and FK Sarajevo drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Zrinjski at 57% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Zrinjski a 68.0% chance to win the league: 70.8% after a win, 64.4% after a draw, 61.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 64.4%, 3.6 points lower than before the match.
For FK Sarajevo the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 92.8% going in: 95.6% after a win, 92.8% after a draw, 92.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 92.8%.
Read from our Premijer Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.