Botafogo SP vs Londrina Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Botafogo SP 4-0 Londrina.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Botafogo SP, 25% draw, 25% Londrina — fair odds of 2.00, 4.00 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie B predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Botafogo SP at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Botafogo SP vs Londrina
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12JordanG
- 2JonathanD
- 4VilarD
- 27DarlanD
- 22Gabriel InocêncioM
- 5L. MacielM
- 10Rafael GavaM
- 6Patrick BreyM
- 8Everton MorelliM
- 23Wesley Pinheiro SantosM
- 9HygorF
- 28Marco AntônioM
- 25AdrianoG
- 31Pedro HenriqueD
- 19Erik RebelloM
- 34BadaróD
- 29Thiago HenriqueM
- 30Zé HugoF
- 20Yuri Felipe Santos da ConceiçãoM
- 26Felipe VieiraD
- 30Mauricio KozlinskiG
- 44Caio RodriguesD
- 4WallaceD
- 3Matheus Henrique Dos SantosD
- 13André Dhominique Queiroz Santiago da SilvaM
- 38Geovane MeurerM
- 8Lucas MarquesM
- 22ArturM
- 17João ConiF
- 99Igor BahiaF
- 28HerbertF
- 2Nino ParaíbaD
- 32TárikM
- 11Pablo DyegoF
- 77Rafael MonteiroD
- 27Kauã Jonathan Dos Santos FerreiraF
- 53ChumbinhoM
- 15Cainã Santos Da SilvaM
- 75Richarlyson Covre De MelloD
- 12ZanellaG
Form going into Botafogo SP vs Londrina
Botafogo SP
Serie B
- D1-1Sport Recife31 October 2026
- W2-0away to Avai24 October 2026
- W1-0away to CRB18 October 2026
Londrina
Serie B
- L1-3America Mineiro1 November 2026
- L1-2away to CRB24 October 2026
- W1-0Cuiaba20 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brazil Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 45 | 41 | +4 | 51 |
| 18 | Londrina | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 35 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Botafogo SP vs Londrina
- 18 July 2026Londrina 0–0 Botafogo SPSerie B
- 25 November 2023Botafogo SP 0–1 LondrinaSerie B
- 24 July 2023Londrina 1–2 Botafogo SPSerie B
- 16 November 2019Londrina 1–1 Botafogo SPSerie B
- 20 August 2019Botafogo SP 2–1 LondrinaSerie B
- 4 August 2013Londrina 0–0 Botafogo SPSerie D
Leading scorers: Botafogo SP and Londrina
Botafogo SP
GoalsAssists
- Hygor110
- Everton Morelli104
Londrina
GoalsAssists
- Bruno Santos113
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Botafogo SP beat Londrina 4–0. The model had made a win for Botafogo SP its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Jonathan 18' for Botafogo SP, Hygor 44' for Botafogo SP, Wesley Santos 49' for Botafogo SP, Gabriel de Souza Inocencio 71' for Botafogo SP. On expected goals it finished 3.08–0.25.
How the call on Botafogo SP v Londrina has moved
First published on 23 Oct at 45% / 26% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 50% / 25% / 25%: the biggest move is Botafogo SP's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- Botafogo SP win50%▲ +5
- Draw25%▼ −1
- Londrina win25%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.