6 November 2026, 22:30 UTC

Operario-PR vs Sport Recife Serie B prediction & result

Estadio Germano Kruger, Ponta Grossa
Referee: Savio Pereira Sampaio
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Operario-PR 3-2 Sport Recife.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Operario-PR, 26% draw, 34% Sport Recife — fair odds of 2.50, 3.85 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Operario-PR at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
⚽Carlos María de Pena Boninoassist: Biel
⚽Claudinho (OG)
14'
27'
Biel
38'
⚽Pedro Henrique Perottiassist: Diego·Hernandez
Jose Abad Cuenu Rodriguez
45'
45+1'
Marcelo Benevenuto
⚽Onitlasi Júnior de Moraes Rodrigues
45+5'
45'
🔁Claudinhoout: Augusto Pucci De Freitas
🔁Brennoout: Leonardo Erig Daitx
45'
⚽Leonardo Erig Daitxassist: Dudu
53'
Leonardo Erig Daitx
54'
Onitlasi Júnior de Moraes Rodrigues
61'
🔁Andréout: Mikael Doka
67'
🔁Onitlasi Júnior de Moraes Rodriguesout: Emaxwell Souza de Lima
76'
77'
🔁Carlos María de Pena Boninoout: Kervin Andrade
🔁Nicolas Schulzout: Charles Raphael de Almeida
77'
77'
🔁Bielout: Fernando Sobral
77'
🔁Habraão Lincon do Nascimento Saraivaout: Neto Pessoa
🔁Duduout: Gabriel Feliciano da Silva
77'
86'
🔁Diego·Hernandezout: Clayson Henrique da Silva Vieira
Gabriel Feliciano da Silva
90+3'
90+4'
Marcelo Benevenuto

Match stats — Operario-PR vs Sport Recife

45%Possession55%
23Shots12
6On target4
9Corners6
1.49xG0.58

Goals against chances

Operario-PR3 from 1.49 xGmore than the chances were worth
Sport Recife2 from 0.58 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Operario-PR 4-2-3-1
  • 1Elias Martello CurzelG
  • 26MaguinhoD
  • 22J. CuenúD
  • 43JosephD
  • 17Nicolas SchulzD
  • 18AndréM
  • 5ÍndioM
  • 28DuduM
  • 21BrennoM
  • 6MoraesM
  • 99Caio DantasF
Substitutes
  • 88Neto ParaíbaM
  • 14Hildeberto PereiraF
  • 30Caio Bruno de Vicq Chada Vilela
  • 41DiegoG
  • 23Joao GabrielD
  • 34Renan GustavoD
  • 16Germano Gabriel Kremer PoniewasF
  • 19Leonardo Erig DaitxF
  • 32CharlesM
Coach: Alberto Valentim
Sport Recife 4-2-3-1
  • 26Thiago CoutoG
  • 27ClaudinhoD
  • 5Marcelo BenevenutoD
  • 28HabraãoD
  • 76RaíD
  • 6BielM
  • 7Patrick de PaulaM
  • 20D. HernándezM
  • 30Chrystian BarlettaM
  • 10C. de PenaM
  • 9PerottiF
Substitutes
  • 23Zé GabrielM
  • 68AugustoD
  • 21BrennoG
  • 25ClaysonM
  • 96EdsonD
  • 88Fernando SobralM
  • 8Juan AlanoF
  • 3Marcelo AjulD
  • 31MarlonF
Coach: M. Soso

Form going into Operario-PR vs Sport Recife

Operario-PR

Serie B

  • L1-2away to Novorizontino1 November 2026
  • W1-0Athletic Club MG23 October 2026
  • L0-1away to America Mineiro17 October 2026

Sport Recife

Serie B

  • D1-1away to Botafogo SP31 October 2026
  • W2-1Criciuma24 October 2026
  • L0-2Fortaleza EC16 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Brazil Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Operario-PR38169135150+157
9Sport Recife381513105342+1158

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Operario-PR vs Sport Recife

  • 18 July 2026Sport Recife 2–2 Operario-PRSerie B
  • 4 November 2024Operario-PR 2–1 Sport RecifeSerie B
  • 17 October 2024Sport Recife 1–2 Operario-PRSerie B
  • 28 October 2022Sport Recife 5–1 Operario-PRSerie B
  • 14 July 2022Operario-PR 0–0 Sport RecifeSerie B
  • 28 September 2019Sport Recife 3–1 Operario-PRSerie B

Leading scorers: Operario-PR and Sport Recife

Operario-PR

GoalsAssists

  • Boschilia134
  • Vinícius Diniz71

Sport Recife

GoalsAssists

  • Perotti151
  • Chrystian Barletta144

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Operario-PR beat Sport Recife 3–2. The model had made a win for Operario-PR its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Carlos María de Pena Bonino 6' for Sport Recife, Claudinho (own goal) 14' for Operario-PR, Pedro Henrique Perotti 38' for Sport Recife, Onitlasi Júnior de Moraes Rodrigues 45+5' for Operario-PR, Leonardo Erig Daitx 53' for Operario-PR. Sent off: Marcelo Benevenuto (Sport Recife) 90+4'. On expected goals it finished 1.49–0.58.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.