5 November 2026, 22:15 UTC

Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata
Referee: Luis Lobo Medina
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Gimnasia La Plata 2-1 Belgrano Cordoba.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Gimnasia La Plata, 31% draw, 28% Belgrano Cordoba — fair odds of 2.44, 3.23 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Gimnasia La Plata at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Gimnasia La Plata97%Draw3%Belgrano Cordoba0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
Alcides Benitez
⚽Lucas Janson
6'
⚽Agustin Auzmendiassist: Matías Melluso
27'
•Matías Melluso
27'
45+1'
⚽Alcides Benitez
Nicolás Barros Schelotto
48'
63'
🔁Santiago Longoout: Nicolás Fernández
🔁Lucas Jansonout: Facundo Di Biasi
65'
67'
Nicolás Fernández
72'
Leonardo Morales
🔁Nicolás Barros Schelottoout: Renzo Giampaoli
75'
🔁Marcelo Torresout: Manuel Panaro
75'
75'
🔁Federico Riccaout: Adrian Spörle
Ignacio Miramon
80'
🔁Mateo Seoaneout: Augusto Max
82'
83'
🔁Alcides Benitezout: Agustín Falcón
83'
🔁Emiliano Rigoniout: Ramiro Hernandes
84'
Adrian Spörle
Facundo Di Biasi
90+5'

Match stats — Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano Cordoba

36%Possession64%
12Shots20
4On target6
2Corners7
1.43xG1.64

Goals against chances

Gimnasia La Plata2 from 1.43 xGmore than the chances were worth
Belgrano Cordoba1 from 1.64 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Gimnasia La Plata 4-3-1-2
  • 15H. CastilloG
  • 33P. AguiarD
  • 13G. ContiD
  • 21E. MartínezD
  • 22M. MellusoD
  • 18M. SeoaneM
  • 5I. MiramónM
  • 10N. SchelottoM
  • 17L. JansonM
  • 29A. AuzmendiF
  • 32M. TorresF
Substitutes
  • 43M. OjedaD
  • 16A. MaxM
  • 7M. PanaroF
  • 20J. PérezM
  • 26F. TorresF
  • 34Sergio Leonel TroncosoM
  • 9M. ZalazarF
  • 35J. CortazzoD
  • 39F. Di BiasiM
Coach: A. Pereyra
Belgrano Cordoba 4-2-3-1
  • 25T. CardozoG
  • 26Alcides BenítezD
  • 14L. MoralesD
  • 17Lisandro LópezD
  • 16F. RiccaD
  • 5S. LongoM
  • 21A. SánchezM
  • 24E. RigoniM
  • 20F. VázquezM
  • 10L. ZelarayánM
  • 9L. PasseriniF
Substitutes
  • 22N. FernándezF
  • 19Santino GattiM
  • 11F. GonzálezM
  • 37L. GutierrezF
  • 8R. HernandesM
  • 2A. MaldonadoD
  • 62Gaston MartinezM
  • 3A. SpörleD
  • 53J. VelazquezF
Coach: R. Zielinski

Form going into Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano Cordoba

Gimnasia La Plata

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • W2-1away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto30 October 2026
  • W2-0Sarmiento Junin23 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Huracan15 October 2026
  • D1-1Atletico Tucuman9 October 2026

Belgrano Cordoba

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • D2-2Barracas Central1 November 2026
  • L0-1away to Aldosivi25 October 2026
  • L0-3River Plate18 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Racing Club11 October 2026

What these results say

  • Gimnasia La Plata went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Gimnasia La Plata scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Gimnasia La Plata won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Belgrano Cordoba failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Belgrano Cordoba conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Gimnasia La Plata169432520+531
6Belgrano Cordoba166551715+223

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano Cordoba

  • 26 April 2026Belgrano Cordoba 0–1 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 26 August 2024Belgrano Cordoba 0–1 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 16 April 2023Gimnasia La Plata 0–2 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 2 November 2018Belgrano Cordoba 2–0 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 25 November 2017Belgrano Cordoba 2–0 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 10 December 2016Gimnasia La Plata 1–1 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina

The full Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano Cordoba record →

Leading scorers: Gimnasia La Plata and Belgrano Cordoba

Gimnasia La Plata

GoalsAssists

  • M. Torres102
  • A. Auzmendi84

Belgrano Cordoba

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Gimnasia La Plata beat Belgrano Cordoba 2–1. The model had made a win for Gimnasia La Plata its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Lucas Janson 6' for Gimnasia La Plata, Agustin Auzmendi 27' for Gimnasia La Plata, Alcides Benitez 45+1' for Belgrano Cordoba. On expected goals it finished 1.43–1.64.

How the call on Gimnasia La Plata v Belgrano Cordoba has moved

First published on 25 Oct at 38% / 32% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 41% / 31% / 28%: the biggest move is Gimnasia La Plata's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Gimnasia La Plata win41%▲ +3
  2. Draw31%▼ −1
  3. Belgrano Cordoba win28%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.