21 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Boulogne vs RED Star FC 93 Ligue 2 prediction & result

Boulogne-sur-Mer
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Boulogne 1-1 RED Star FC 93.

Before kick-off the model made it 25% Boulogne, 27% draw, 48% RED Star FC 93 — fair odds of 4.00, 3.70 and 2.08. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts RED Star FC 93 at 48% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Boulogne3%Draw93%RED Star FC 934%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
⚽D. Durandassist: K. Cabral
Joffrey Bultel
17'
Demba Thiam
23'
27'
Jovany Ikanga
32'
Théo Magnin
Benjamin Besic
43'
46'
🔁R. Hachemout: S. Khaoui
⚽A. Hbouch
52'
55'
🔁M. Huardout: K. Cisse
55'
🔁J. Ikangaout: C. Konate
🔁B. Besicout: M. Soumah
74'
78'
🔁I. Halifaout: S. Renel
🔁T. Bruscoout: A. Pinot
88'
🔁T. Epaillyout: A. Nassiri
88'
90+4'
Elyaz Zidane
90+1'
Cheick Konate

Match stats — Boulogne vs RED Star FC 93

54%Possession46%
17Shots6
9On target3
3Corners3

Line-ups

Boulogne 5-3-2
  • 99B. NoukeuG
  • 21A. PlatretD
  • 18D. ThiamD
  • 25A. KerriouD
  • 20T. BruscoD
  • 12J. BoyerD
  • 14J. BultelM
  • 19N. BinetM
  • 64T. EpaillyM
  • 10A. HbouchF
  • 17B. BesicF
Substitutes
  • 1X. LenogueG
  • 15A. PinotD
  • 26O. LenneD
  • 4J. KapengaD
  • 28S. PaillardM
  • 22S. DuflosD
  • 36M. SoumahM
  • 7A. NassiriM
  • 9M. LecolierF
Coach: Fabien Dagneaux
RED Star FC 93 4-2-3-1
  • 16G. PoussinG
  • 2T. MagninD
  • 20D. DurivauxD
  • 15E. ZidaneD
  • 3M. HuardD
  • 19I. HalifaM
  • 6B. DangerM
  • 23J. IkangaM
  • 93R. HachemM
  • 7D. DurandM
  • 91K. CabralF
Substitutes
  • 1Y. BenchaouchG
  • 12S. GuindoD
  • 11K. CisseF
  • 10S. KhaouiM
  • 17S. RenelM
  • 8G. TraniM
  • 45C. KonateM
Coach: Damien Perrinelle

Form going into Boulogne vs RED Star FC 93

Boulogne

  • L0-1away to Guingamp14 August 2026

RED Star FC 93

  • D0-0Sochaux14 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Boulogne605123-15
4RED Star FC 93632166011

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Boulogne vs RED Star FC 93

  • 24 January 2026RED Star FC 93 2–2 BoulogneLigue 2
  • 29 September 2025Boulogne 1–2 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
  • 28 January 2022Boulogne 0–4 RED Star FC 93Ligue 3
  • 13 August 2021RED Star FC 93 1–3 BoulogneLigue 3
  • 15 January 2021RED Star FC 93 0–0 BoulogneLigue 3
  • 28 August 2020Boulogne 1–1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 3

Leading scorers: Boulogne and RED Star FC 93

Boulogne

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.

RED Star FC 93

  • D. Durand2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.