21 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Clermont Foot vs Dijon Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Gabriel Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Clermont Foot 1-1 Dijon.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Clermont Foot, 35% draw, 20% Dijon — fair odds of 2.22, 2.86 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Clermont Foot at 45% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Clermont Foot3%Draw95%Dijon2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

59'
Lenny Lacroix
🔁E. H. Koneout: M. Douane
63'
🔁C. Okouout: J. Nyindong Tsamouna
63'
66'
🔁S. Chouchaneout: J. Marie
66'
🔁A. Ntamackout: J. Tavares
🔁M. Bouchennaout: O. Diop
71'
🔁J. Sambiaout: A. Hunou
71'
75'
🔁A. Lembezatout: M. Barreto
75'
🔁Y. Barkaout: T. Dong
85'
🔁Y. Akaout: H. Vargas-Rios
88'
Tyris Dong
90'
⚽J. Marieassist: J. Tavares
⚽J. Nyindong Tsamounaassist: A. Hunou
90'

Match stats — Clermont Foot vs Dijon

39%Possession61%
8Shots18
2On target6
2Corners7

Line-ups

Clermont Foot 4-1-4-1
  • 30T. GuivarchG
  • 93I. CoulibalyD
  • 21Y. SalmierD
  • 4E. KabeyaD
  • 12V. NsimbaD
  • 5J. Grillot
  • 19M. BouchennaM
  • 44A. AckraM
  • 10J. SambiaM
  • 6E. H. KoneM
  • 90C. OkouF
Substitutes
  • 16M. N'DiayeG
  • 15C. KonateD
  • 28I. M'BahiaD
  • 11M. DouaneF
  • 17O. DiopF
  • 29A. SaintorensF
  • 39J. Nyindong TsamounaF
  • 23A. HunouM
Coach: David Guion
Dijon 4-1-3-2
  • 16P. DelecroixG
  • 93I. BouleghchaD
  • 23L. LacroixD
  • 5Q. BernardD
  • 42Y. AkaD
  • 8P. BellonM
  • 21S. ChouchaneM
  • 17A. LembezatM
  • 18B. NdeziM
  • 10Y. BarkaF
  • 29A. NtamackF
Substitutes
  • 46I. Marie-RoseG
  • 31M. FatyD
  • 15A. BargainD
  • 6W. DioufD
  • 4M. BarretoM
  • 14J. MarieM
  • 20H. Vargas-RiosM
  • 11J. TavaresF
  • 9T. DongF
Coach: Baptiste Ridira

Form going into Clermont Foot vs Dijon

Clermont Foot

  • L1-3away to Saint Etienne14 August 2026

Dijon

  • L0-1PAU14 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Clermont Foot605135-25
13Dijon613289-16

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Clermont Foot vs Dijon

  • 9 April 2016Clermont Foot 2–3 DijonLigue 2
  • 20 November 2015Dijon 4–1 Clermont FootLigue 2
  • 13 March 2015Clermont Foot 2–5 DijonLigue 2
  • 3 October 2014Dijon 1–0 Clermont FootLigue 2
  • 2 May 2014Clermont Foot 0–1 DijonLigue 2

Leading scorers: Clermont Foot and Dijon

Clermont Foot

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.

Dijon

  • Samy Olivier Chouchane3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.