Bournemouth vs Brentford Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Bournemouth, 27% draw, 32% Brentford — fair odds of 2.44, 3.70 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Bournemouth at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bournemouth vs Brentford
Line-ups
- 1Đ. PetrovićG
- 15A. SmithD
- 5J. HillD
- 14António SilvaD
- 3A. TruffertD
- 12T. AdamsM
- 8A. ScottM
- 37RayanM
- 19J. KluivertM
- 16M. TavernierM
- 9EvanilsonF
- 30Á. RodríguezF
- 7D. BrooksM
- 27A. TóthM
- 11B. DoakF
- 10R. ChristieM
- 4L. CookM
- 18B. DiakitéD
- 6J. SolerD
- 20M. Di GregorioG
- 1C. KelleherG
- 2A. HickeyD
- 44Jannik SchusterD
- 20K. AjerD
- 23K. Lewis-PotterD
- 18M. SangaréM
- 27V. JaneltM
- 19J. AnthonyM
- 6Y. YarmolyukM
- 7K. SchadeM
- 9ThiagoF
- 39Gustavo GomesF
- 14Fábio CarvalhoM
- 13C. WilsonF
- 24M. DamsgaardM
- 11D. OuattaraF
- 33M. KayodeD
- 25E. DioufD
- 3R. HenryD
- 12H. ValdimarssonG
Form going into Bournemouth vs Brentford
Bournemouth
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Newcastle5 September 2026
- D1-1Everton29 August 2026
- L1-2away to Manchester City23 August 2026
Brentford
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Sunderland5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Leeds30 August 2026
- W3-0Tottenham22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bournemouth vs Brentford
- 3 March 2026Bournemouth 0–0 BrentfordPremier League
- 27 December 2025Brentford 4–1 BournemouthPremier League
- 26 August 2025Bournemouth 0–2 BrentfordLeague Cup
- 15 March 2025Bournemouth 1–2 BrentfordPremier League
- 9 November 2024Brentford 3–2 BournemouthPremier League
Leading scorers: Bournemouth and Brentford
Bournemouth
GoalsAssists
- Evanilson54
- M. Tavernier50
Brentford
GoalsAssists
- K. Schade30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Bournemouth and Brentford drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Bournemouth at 41% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Kevin Schade 34' for Brentford, Justin Kluivert 38' for Bournemouth, Marcus Tavernier 52' for Bournemouth, Kevin Schade 56' for Brentford.