12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

Liverpool vs Fulham Premier League prediction & result

Anfield, Liverpool
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Liverpool 0-0 Fulham.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Liverpool, 27% draw, 25% Fulham — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Liverpool at 48% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Liverpool5%Draw92%Fulham3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Konstantinos Tsimikasout: Milos Kerkez
45'
🔁Víctor Muñozout: Cody Gakpo
60'
🔁Ryan Gravenberchout: Alexis Mac Allister
60'
63'
🔁Oscar Bobbout: Kenny Tete
🔁Bradley Barcolaout: Rio Ngumoha
72'
🔁Ronald Araujoout: Jeremie Frimpong
72'
72'
🔁Timothy Castagneout: Kevin Santos Lopes de Macedo
77'
🔁Gonzalo Garcíaout: Rodrigo Muniz
77'
🔁Josh Kingout: Emile Smith Rowe
77'
🔁Alex Iwobiout: Hugo Larsson
81'
Kenny Tete

Match stats — Liverpool vs Fulham

56%Possession44%
14Shots10
3On target4
5Corners8

Line-ups

Liverpool 4-2-3-1
  • 1Alisson BeckerG
  • 33R. AraújoD
  • 5J. JacquetD
  • 4V. van DijkD
  • 21K. TsimikasD
  • 8D. SzoboszlaiM
  • 38R. GravenberchM
  • 23Víctor MuñozM
  • 7F. WirtzM
  • 29B. BarcolaM
  • 9A. IsakF
Substitutes
  • 73R. NgumohaF
  • 42T. NyoniM
  • 3W. EndoM
  • 30J. FrimpongD
  • 18C. GakpoF
  • 6M. KerkezD
  • 67L. KoumasF
  • 10A. Mac AllisterM
  • 25G. MamardashviliG
Coach: Andoni Iraola
Fulham 4-2-3-1
  • 1B. LenoG
  • 21T. CastagneD
  • 22D. AffengruberD
  • 3C. BasseyD
  • 33A. RobinsonD
  • 16S. BergeM
  • 19S. CharlesM
  • 14Oscar BobbM
  • 24Joshua KingM
  • 17A. IwobiM
  • 7Gonzalo GarcíaF
Substitutes
  • 11KevinF
  • 15H. LarssonM
  • 23B. LecomteG
  • 20Manuel ÁngelM
  • 8César PalaciosM
  • 9Rodrigo MunizF
  • 32E. Smith RoweM
  • 2K. TeteD
  • 5J. AndersenD
Coach: Álvaro Arbeloa

Form going into Liverpool vs Fulham

Liverpool

  • W2-0away to Ipswich4 September 2026
  • D2-2Nottingham Forest29 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Newcastle23 August 2026

Fulham

  • L2-3Crystal Palace5 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Sunderland30 August 2026
  • L2-3Chelsea24 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Liverpool413064+26
18Fulham401347-31

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Liverpool vs Fulham

  • 12 September 2026Liverpool 0–0 FulhamPremier League
  • 11 April 2026Liverpool 2–0 FulhamPremier League
  • 4 January 2026Fulham 2–2 LiverpoolPremier League
  • 6 April 2025Fulham 3–2 LiverpoolPremier League
  • 14 December 2024Liverpool 2–2 FulhamPremier League
  • 21 April 2024Fulham 1–3 LiverpoolPremier League

Leading scorers: Liverpool and Fulham

Liverpool

  • A. Isak3 goals

Fulham

  • Joshua King2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.