12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Premier League prediction & result

Selhurst Park, London
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Crystal Palace 2-3 Ipswich.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Crystal Palace, 27% draw, 30% Ipswich — fair odds of 2.33, 3.70 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Crystal Palace at 43% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Crystal Palace4%Draw91%Ipswich5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Anan Khalailiassist: Daichi Kamada
14'
23'
⚽Emersonnassist: Leif Davis
Axel Disasi
34'
🔁Yeremy Pinoout: Takehiro Tomiyasu
37'
43'
Jack Clarke
45'
⚽Leif Davisassist: Emersonn
58'
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
62'
🔁Abdul Fatawu Issahakuout: Jaden Philogene-Bidace
63'
🔁Jack Clarkeout: Daizen Maeda
63'
🔁Emersonnout: Zian Flemming
70'
Saša Lukić
⚽Jörgen Strand Larsenassist: Daichi Kamada
75'
77'
🔁Saša Lukićout: Florentino Luís
🔁Adam Whartonout: Will Hughes
77'
🔁Tyrick Mitchellout: Ben Chilwell
77'
🔁Daichi Kamadaout: Jefferson Lerma
84'
🔁Jörgen Strand Larsenout: Zavier Gozo
84'
88'
🔁Jacob Greavesout: Abdoul Ouattara
90'
⚽Zian Flemming
Chris Richards
90+4'

Match stats — Crystal Palace vs Ipswich

46%Possession54%
11Shots12
4On target6
6Corners3

Line-ups

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1
  • 44W. BenítezG
  • 26C. RichardsD
  • 5A. DisasiD
  • 21H. AhanorD
  • 25A. KhalailiM
  • 23Q. TimberM
  • 20A. WhartonM
  • 3T. MitchellM
  • 18D. KamadaM
  • 10Yeremy PinoM
  • 22J. Strand LarsenF
Substitutes
  • 11D. McNeilF
  • 19W. HughesM
  • 31R. MatthewsG
  • 17T. TomiyasuD
  • 33B. ChilwellD
  • 30Óscar MinguezaD
  • 28C. DoucouréM
  • 8J. LermaM
  • 12Z. GozoF
Coach: P. Sage
Ipswich 4-2-3-1
  • 37K. ScherpenG
  • 26D. O'SheaD
  • 6I. DiopD
  • 24J. GreavesD
  • 3L. DavisD
  • 23S. LukićM
  • 25E. PalaciosM
  • 7A. FatawuM
  • 10J. EncisoM
  • 47J. ClarkeM
  • 19EmersonnF
Substitutes
  • 11J. PhilogeneF
  • 28C. WaltonG
  • 4C. KipréD
  • 42A. OuattaraD
  • 12FlorentinoM
  • 32M. NúñezM
  • 38D. MaedaF
  • 9Z. FlemmingF
  • 29C. AkpomF
Coach: G. O'Neil

Form going into Crystal Palace vs Ipswich

Crystal Palace

  • W3-2away to Fulham5 September 2026
  • L1-4Manchester City28 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Everton22 August 2026

Ipswich

  • L0-2Liverpool4 September 2026
  • L2-5away to Manchester United30 August 2026
  • W2-1Sunderland22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Crystal Palace4103611-53
10Ipswich4202710-36

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Crystal Palace vs Ipswich

  • 12 September 2026Crystal Palace 2–3 IpswichPremier League
  • 8 March 2025Crystal Palace 1–0 IpswichPremier League
  • 3 December 2024Ipswich 0–1 Crystal PalacePremier League
  • 16 July 2022Crystal Palace 4–2 IpswichFriendlies Clubs
  • 24 July 2021Ipswich 0–1 Crystal PalaceFriendlies Clubs
  • 22 August 2017Crystal Palace 2–1 IpswichLeague Cup

Leading scorers: Crystal Palace and Ipswich

Crystal Palace

  • T. Mitchell2 goals

Ipswich

  • Emersonn2 goals1 assists
  • L. Davis2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.