Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Crystal Palace 2-3 Ipswich.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Crystal Palace, 27% draw, 30% Ipswich — fair odds of 2.33, 3.70 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Crystal Palace at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Crystal Palace vs Ipswich
Line-ups
- 44W. BenítezG
- 26C. RichardsD
- 5A. DisasiD
- 21H. AhanorD
- 25A. KhalailiM
- 23Q. TimberM
- 20A. WhartonM
- 3T. MitchellM
- 18D. KamadaM
- 10Yeremy PinoM
- 22J. Strand LarsenF
- 11D. McNeilF
- 19W. HughesM
- 31R. MatthewsG
- 17T. TomiyasuD
- 33B. ChilwellD
- 30Óscar MinguezaD
- 28C. DoucouréM
- 8J. LermaM
- 12Z. GozoF
- 37K. ScherpenG
- 26D. O'SheaD
- 6I. DiopD
- 24J. GreavesD
- 3L. DavisD
- 23S. LukićM
- 25E. PalaciosM
- 7A. FatawuM
- 10J. EncisoM
- 47J. ClarkeM
- 19EmersonnF
- 11J. PhilogeneF
- 28C. WaltonG
- 4C. KipréD
- 42A. OuattaraD
- 12FlorentinoM
- 32M. NúñezM
- 38D. MaedaF
- 9Z. FlemmingF
- 29C. AkpomF
Form going into Crystal Palace vs Ipswich
Crystal Palace
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Fulham5 September 2026
- L1-4Manchester City28 August 2026
- L0-2away to Everton22 August 2026
Ipswich
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Liverpool4 September 2026
- L2-5away to Manchester United30 August 2026
- W2-1Sunderland22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 7 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Crystal Palace vs Ipswich
- 8 March 2025Crystal Palace 1–0 IpswichPremier League
- 3 December 2024Ipswich 0–1 Crystal PalacePremier League
- 16 July 2022Crystal Palace 4–2 IpswichFriendlies Clubs
- 24 July 2021Ipswich 0–1 Crystal PalaceFriendlies Clubs
- 22 August 2017Crystal Palace 2–1 IpswichLeague Cup
The result against the call
Ipswich won 3–2 at Crystal Palace. The model had leaned towards a win for Crystal Palace at 43% and given a win for Ipswich 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Anan Khalaili 14' for Crystal Palace, Emersonn 23' for Ipswich, Leif Davis 45' for Ipswich, Jörgen Strand Larsen 75' for Crystal Palace, Zian Flemming 90' for Ipswich. Sent off: Axel Disasi (Crystal Palace) 34'.