8 November 2026, 13:30 UTC

ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Rzeszów I Liga prediction & result

Lodz
Referee: M. Piszczelok
Full time1 – 0

Final score: ŁKS Łódź 1-0 Stal Rzeszów.

Before kick-off the model made it 56% ŁKS Łódź, 24% draw, 20% Stal Rzeszów — fair odds of 1.79, 4.17 and 5.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

ŁKS Łódź at 56%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

ŁKS Łódź6%Draw91%Stal Rzeszów3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

S. Rudol
3'
•S. Rudol
45+2'
🔁S. Rudolout: K. Falowski
46'
46'
🔁M. Rittmullerout: A. Naifi
55'
M. Kaczor
🔁M. Wysokinskiout: F. Piasecki
58'
🔁S. Karasinskiout: D. Sokol
58'
65'
🔁W. Brzekout: O. Madej
65'
🔁A. Buksaout: S. Salamon
66'
K. Kukulka
75'
S. Pukala
L. Szczygiel
78'
🔁K. Hinokioout: I. Strzalek
79'
79'
🔁S. Pukalaout: E. Wisniowski
82'
E. Wisniowski
🔁L. Szczygielout: K. Nowakowski
84'
M. Kaput
88'
⚽A. Arasaassist: M. Kaput
90'

Form going into ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Rzeszów

ŁKS Łódź

I Liga

  • D1-1Polonia Warszawa2 November 2026
  • W1-0away to Warta Poznań26 October 2026
  • W1-0Podbeskidzie18 October 2026
  • L0-2Ruch Chorzów11 October 2026

Stal Rzeszów

I Liga

  • D2-2Puszcza Niepołomice2 November 2026
  • L1-2away to Podbeskidzie25 October 2026
  • W4-3away to Pogoń Siedlce18 October 2026
  • L1-2Lechia Gdansk12 October 2026

What these results say

  • Every one of these 4 matches for ŁKS Łódź had two goals or fewer.
  • ŁKS Łódź scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Stal Rzeszów scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Stal Rzeszów conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Stal Rzeszów had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2ŁKS Łódź147431712+525
13Stal Rzeszów145361825-718

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Rzeszów

  • 25 April 2026ŁKS Łódź 2–1 Stal RzeszówI Liga
  • 18 October 2025Stal Rzeszów 1–4 ŁKS ŁódźI Liga
  • 4 May 2025ŁKS Łódź 5–0 Stal RzeszówI Liga
  • 26 October 2024Stal Rzeszów 2–4 ŁKS ŁódźI Liga
  • 12 March 2023ŁKS Łódź 1–0 Stal RzeszówI Liga
  • 14 August 2022Stal Rzeszów 1–0 ŁKS ŁódźI Liga

The result against the call

ŁKS Łódź beat Stal Rzeszów 1–0. The model had made a win for ŁKS Łódź its most likely outcome, at 56%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: A. Arasa 90' for ŁKS Łódź.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave ŁKS Łódź a 23.4% chance to finish in the top two: 26.4% after a win, 18.5% after a draw, 15.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 26.4%, 3 points higher than before the match.

For Stal Rzeszów the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 21.8% going in: 13.9% after a win, 20.7% after a draw, 23.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 23.7%, 1.9 points higher than before the match.

Read from our I Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.