8 November 2026, 16:30 UTC

Radomlje vs Celje 1. SNL prediction & result

Referee: A. Borosak
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Radomlje 1-2 Celje.

Before kick-off the model made it 19% Radomlje, 22% draw, 59% Celje — fair odds of 5.26, 4.55 and 1.69.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Celje at 59%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Radomlje0%Draw3%Celje97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

15'
⚽M. Ivansekassist: M. Kvesic
30'
⚽M. Kvesic
43'
•B. Verbic
45+1'
Z. Leban
⚽J. Martincic (pen)
45+3'
🔁B. Burculout: J. Jelen
46'
64'
🔁Y. Dukulyout: V. Tusha
🔁A. Zabukovnikout: D. Kantuzer
64'
73'
M. Avdyli
73'
🔁B. Kramerout: A. Kucys
75'
A. Kucys
V. Pelko
78'
79'
🔁M. Kvesicout: I. Calusic
🔁A. Paicout: D. Mazreku
90+1'

Line-ups

Radomlje
  • 1S. Pridgar
  • 87B. Graonic
  • 22A. Paic
  • 4B. Anzelj
  • 24B. Burcul
  • 41M. Zaper
  • 10N. Marinsek
  • 15A. Zabukovnik
  • 7D. Ikenna
  • 11J. Martincic
  • 9V. Pelko
Substitutes
  • 13N. Dermastija
  • 73D. Churakov
  • 88F. Andrejcak
  • 8J. Jelen
  • A. Tabakovic
  • 70A. Goljevscek
  • 33T. Puc
  • 23J. Balic
  • 66D. Kantuzer
Coach: Radostin Aleksandrov
Celje
  • 1Z. Leban
  • 11M. Avdyli
  • 6A. Tutyskinas
  • 15Z. Zuzek
  • 77M. Ivansek
  • 8M. Kvesic
  • 19M. Zabukovnik
  • 10S. Seslar
  • 91Y. Dukuly
  • 7B. Verbic
  • 9B. Kramer
Substitutes
  • 21S. Sluga
  • 20A. Dionkou
  • 2P. Sirvys
  • 44L. Bejger
  • 4D. Hrka
  • 33L. Koutris
  • 13P. Daniel
  • 27I. Calusic
  • 32T. Letonja
Coach: Zoran Zeljkovic

Form going into Radomlje vs Celje

Radomlje

1. SNL

  • L0-5away to Aluminij31 October 2026
  • D1-1Mura27 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Bravo17 October 2026
  • D3-3Koper10 October 2026

Celje

1. SNL

  • W4-0Nafta1 November 2026
  • D1-1away to Olimpija Ljubljana28 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Maribor18 October 2026
  • W1-0Aluminij10 October 2026

What these results say

  • Radomlje did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Radomlje conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Radomlje scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Celje went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Celje scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Celje kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Radomlje141581631-158
3Celje146531913+623

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Radomlje vs Celje

  • 11 April 2026Radomlje 1–3 Celje1. SNL
  • 4 February 2026Celje 3–1 Radomlje1. SNL
  • 5 October 2025Radomlje 0–3 Celje1. SNL
  • 27 July 2025Celje 2–0 Radomlje1. SNL
  • 21 April 2025Radomlje 1–3 Celje1. SNL
  • 23 February 2025Celje 9–1 Radomlje1. SNL

The result against the call

Celje won 2–1 at Radomlje. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Celje at 59%. The goals: M. Ivansek 15' for Celje, M. Kvesic 30' for Celje, J. Martincic (penalty) 45+3' for Radomlje.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Radomlje a 63.7% chance to finish in the bottom one: 53.5% after a win, 63.0% after a draw, 66.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 66.2%, 2.5 points higher than before the match.

For Celje the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 36.1% going in: 38.7% after a win, 31.6% after a draw, 28.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 38.7%, 2.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 1. SNL season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Radomlje v Celje has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 24% / 24% / 52% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 19% / 22% / 59%: the biggest move is Celje's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. Radomlje win19%▼ −5
  2. Draw22%▼ −2
  3. Celje win59%▲ +7

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.