Bristol City vs Portsmouth Championship prediction & result
Final score: Bristol City 2-1 Portsmouth.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Bristol City, 23% draw, 25% Portsmouth — fair odds of 1.92, 4.35 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Bristol City at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bristol City vs Portsmouth
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Sam TickleG
- 19George TannerD
- 16Rob DickieD
- 2Lisav Naif EissatD
- 21Rio CardinesD
- 12Jason KnightM
- 8Joe WilliamsM
- 17Jed WallaceM
- 10Scott TwineM
- 7Yu HirakawaM
- 9Lorent TolajF
- 20Sam GreenwoodM
- 14Tomi HorvatM
- 3Cameron PringD
- 23Dominic BallardF
- 38Noah EileD
- 40Brad CollinsG
- 5Robert AtkinsonD
- 4Adam RandellM
- 27Gibson YahM
- 1Nicolas SchmidG
- 24Terry DevlinD
- 2Benjamin ArthurD
- 6Conor ShaughnessyD
- 22Zak SwansonD
- 19Rocco Robert SheinM
- 7Marlon PackM
- 11Abu KamaraM
- 10Adrian SegečićM
- 25Ryan Kavuma-McQueenM
- 9Colby BishopF
- 38Ebou AdamsM
- 34Harvey BlairF
- 29Marko MilovanovićF
- 55Madiodio DiaD
- 8John SwiftM
- 31Daniel BielicaG
- 5Regan PooleD
- 27Odin BaileyM
- 28Luke Brooke-SmithF
Form going into Bristol City vs Portsmouth
Bristol City
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Birmingham22 August 2026
- L0-2Millwall15 August 2026
Portsmouth
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to Lincoln22 August 2026
- L1-3QPR15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bristol City vs Portsmouth
- 1 January 2026Bristol City 5–0 PortsmouthChampionship
- 29 November 2025Portsmouth 0–1 Bristol CityChampionship
- 29 December 2024Bristol City 3–0 PortsmouthChampionship
- 7 December 2024Portsmouth 3–0 Bristol CityChampionship
- 29 July 2023Portsmouth 0–1 Bristol CityFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Bristol City and Portsmouth
Bristol City
GoalsAssists
- S. Twine50
Portsmouth
No player in Championship's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Bristol City beat Portsmouth 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Bristol City at 52%. The goals: L. Tolaj 31' for Bristol City, J. Knight 56' for Bristol City, Marezi (penalty) 90+5' for Portsmouth. On expected goals it finished 0.61–1.38.