Charlton vs Preston Championship prediction & result
Final score: Charlton 1-0 Preston.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Charlton, 23% draw, 25% Preston — fair odds of 1.92, 4.35 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Charlton at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Charlton vs Preston
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13Arthur OkonkwoG
- 20Danny McNamaraD
- 5Lloyd JonesD
- 17Amari'i BellD
- 18Ivan MesíkD
- 6Conor CoventryM
- 15Nathaniel ChalobahM
- 7Tyreece CampbellM
- 14Sonny CareyM
- 9Karlan GrantM
- 11Miles LeaburnF
- 19Millenic AlliF
- 32Alan MwambaD
- 33Micah MbickF
- 31Nathan AsiimweD
- 26Joe Rankin-CostelloM
- 21Tiernan BrooksG
- 16Timothy OumaM
- 30Robert ApterM
- 8Harvey KnibbsM
- 1Daniel IversenG
- 4Harry ClarkeD
- 24Odeluga OffiahD
- 6Liam LindsayD
- 19Lewis GibsonD
- 3Andrija VukčevićD
- 15Jordan ThompsonM
- 27Leo LeroyM
- 7Alfie DevineM
- 10Callum LangF
- 37Delano BurgzorgF
- 17Stanley MillsM
- 9Jusef ErabiF
- 11Thierry SmallD
- 12Caleb WileyD
- 21Lee NichollsG
- 2Pol ValentínD
- 14Jordan StoreyD
- 23Andrew MoranM
- 30George GrybaF
Form going into Charlton vs Preston
Charlton
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to West Ham22 August 2026
- W2-1Derby15 August 2026
Preston
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Wolves22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Bolton15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Charlton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
| 24 | Preston | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Charlton vs Preston
- 11 April 2026Charlton 1–2 PrestonChampionship
- 4 October 2025Preston 2–0 CharltonChampionship
- 14 January 2025Preston 2–1 CharltonFA Cup
- 18 January 2020Preston 2–1 CharltonChampionship
- 3 November 2019Charlton 0–1 PrestonChampionship
The result against the call
Charlton beat Preston 1–0. The model had made a win for Charlton its most likely outcome, at 52%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Karlan Grant 56' for Charlton. On expected goals it finished 0.87–0.91.