Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Bukovyna 1-1 Kolos Kovalivka.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Bukovyna, 30% draw, 37% Kolos Kovalivka — fair odds of 3.03, 3.33 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Kolos Kovalivka at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka
Line-ups
- 30Danylo KanevtsevG
- 24A. BuskoD
- 2D. KarasD
- 3M. BezuglyiD
- 95P. StasyukD
- 44V. VitenchukM
- 12Y. PidlepenetsM
- 20M. ZaderakaM
- 25V. GrushaM
- 11V. DakhnovskyiM
- 7O. KozhushkoF
- 10B. BoychukF
- 97O. IlyinM
- 77M. KlepačF
- 21D. KravchukF
- 22I. PutryaD
- 69E. RomanetsD
- 4T. SakivD
- 6V. TankovskyiM
- 70M. GayeM
- 31I. PakholyukG
- 2Z. RukhadzeD
- 3E. KozikD
- 6M. BurdaD
- 9A. TsurikovD
- 7O. DemchenkoM
- 14I. KaneM
- 20N. GagnidzeM
- 10L. StankovskiM
- 90I. KasallaM
- 30D. NdukweF
- 11A. TahiriF
- 21D. SukhonosM
- 42O. SavchukD
- 99A. RrapajM
- 77A. PonedelnikD
- 51V. MorgunG
- 1D. MatsapuraG
- 70Y. KlymchukF
- 15A. GusolM
Form going into Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka
Bukovyna
Premier League
- D0-0Kryvbas KR25 October 2026
- L1-4away to Kudrivka17 October 2026
- D2-2Polessya11 October 2026
Kolos Kovalivka
Premier League
- W2-0away to Veres Rivne23 October 2026
- L1-2away to Shakhtar Donetsk17 October 2026
- W3-1Epitsentr Dunayivtsi10 October 2026
- W3-2away to Kudrivka20 September 2026
What these results say
- Kolos Kovalivka scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Kolos Kovalivka won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kolos Kovalivka conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ukraine Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bukovyna | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 | Kolos Kovalivka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bukovyna vs Kolos Kovalivka
- 20 November 2016Bukovyna 2–3 Kolos KovalivkaPersha Liga
- 6 August 2016Kolos Kovalivka 3–1 BukovynaPersha Liga
- 1 June 2016Kolos Kovalivka 2–2 BukovynaDruha Liga - Group A
- 18 October 2015Bukovyna 2–0 Kolos KovalivkaDruha Liga - Group A
Leading scorers: Bukovyna and Kolos Kovalivka
Bukovyna
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Kolos Kovalivka
GoalsAssists
- D. Ndukwe40
- O. Demchenko31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Bukovyna and Kolos Kovalivka drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Kolos Kovalivka at 37% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Denys Ndukve 38' for Kolos Kovalivka, Oleh·Kozhushko 50' for Bukovyna.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Bukovyna a 36.8% chance to finish in the bottom four: 27.1% after a win, 38.9% after a draw, 44.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 38.9%, 2.1 points higher than before the match.
For Kolos Kovalivka the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 3.7% going in: 1.5% after a win, 2.9% after a draw, 5.6% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 2.9%, 0.8 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.