8 November 2026, 13:15 UTC

Spartak Moscow vs Akron Premier League prediction & result

Lukoil Arena, Moscow
Referee: Rafael Shafeev
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Spartak Moscow 2-1 Akron.

Before kick-off the model made it 66% Spartak Moscow, 20% draw, 14% Akron — fair odds of 1.52, 5.00 and 7.14.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Spartak Moscow at 66%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Pablo Solari
39'
39'
Stefan Loncar
⚽Slobodan Tedić (OG)
42'
45'
🔁Dmitriy Pestryakovout: Dudu Rodrigues
45'
🔁Konstantin Maradishviliout: Karlen Hovhannisyan
58'
⚽Stefan Loncarassist: Artem Shumanskiy
⚽Danil Prutsevassist: Esequiel Barco
64'
69'
🔁Vyacheslav Bardybakhinout: Yomar Rocha
72'
Slobodan Tedić
🔁Pablo Solariout: Marquinhos
73'
76'
🔁Kristijan Bistrovićout: Khetag Khosonov
77'
🔁Slobodan Tedićout: Maksim Boldyrev
🔁Manfred Ugaldeout: Mirlind Daku
81'
•Aleksandr Maksimenko
84'
Aleksandr Maksimenko
84'
🔁Esequiel Barcoout: Ilya Pomazun
85'
🔁Roman Zobninout: Daniil Denisov
85'
90+5'
Marat Bokoev

Match stats — Spartak Moscow vs Akron

56%Possession44%
18Shots11
6On target5
11Corners3
1.47xG0.6

Goals against chances

Spartak Moscow2 from 1.47 xGmore than the chances were worth
Akron1 from 0.60 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Spartak Moscow 4-2-3-1
  • 98A. MaksimenkoG
  • 47R. ZobninD
  • 3C. WoohD
  • 6S. BabićD
  • 33Víctor ParadaD
  • 18N. UmyarovM
  • 25D. PrutsevM
  • 7P. SolariM
  • 83Gedson FernandesM
  • 5E. BarcoM
  • 9M. UgaldeF
Substitutes
  • 62P. PolekhF
  • 19M. DakuF
  • 17V. SausM
  • 1I. PomazunG
  • 97D. DenisovD
  • 56A. DovbnyaG
  • 40I. SorokinM
  • 10MarquinhosF
  • 24Nikita MassalygaM
Coach: Carcedo
Akron 4-3-3
  • 88V. GudievG
  • 13V. BardybakhinD
  • 26João EscovalD
  • 19M. BokoevD
  • 21R. FernándezD
  • 22K. MaradishviliM
  • 8K. BistrovićM
  • 15S. LončarM
  • 71D. PestryakovF
  • 9S. TedićF
  • 99A. ShumanskiyF
Substitutes
  • 6K. HovhannisyanM
  • 80K. KhosonovM
  • 24I. NedelcearuD
  • 89D. PopenkovM
  • 2Y. RochaD
  • 17Artem SidorenkoM
  • 32I. TerekhovskiyG
  • 55M. VidosavljevićF
  • 98R. VolochayG
Coach: S. Blagojević

Form going into Spartak Moscow vs Akron

Spartak Moscow

Premier League

  • W4-0away to Lokomotiv1 November 2026
  • L0-2away to CSKA Moscow25 October 2026
  • W4-0Rubin18 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Krylia Sovetov10 October 2026

Akron

Premier League

  • L1-2away to Baltika1 November 2026
  • W3-1Dynamo24 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Dinamo Makhachkala17 October 2026
  • L0-1away to FC Rostov9 October 2026

What these results say

  • Spartak Moscow scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Akron conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Akron failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Akron scored in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Russia Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Spartak Moscow149232711+1629
14Akron142661725-812

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Spartak Moscow vs Akron

  • 9 March 2026Spartak Moscow 4–3 AkronPremier League
  • 3 August 2025Akron 1–1 Spartak MoscowPremier League
  • 19 April 2025Akron 2–3 Spartak MoscowPremier League
  • 12 March 2025Akron 2–3 Spartak MoscowCup
  • 10 November 2024Spartak Moscow 4–0 AkronPremier League

Leading scorers: Spartak Moscow and Akron

Spartak Moscow

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ugalde60
  • M. Daku51

Akron

GoalsAssists

  • Gilson Benchimol42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Spartak Moscow beat Akron 2–1. The model had made a win for Spartak Moscow its most likely outcome, at 66%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Slobodan Tedić (own goal) 42' for Spartak Moscow, Stefan Loncar 58' for Akron, Danil Prutsev 64' for Spartak Moscow. Sent off: Aleksandr Maksimenko (Spartak Moscow) 84'. On expected goals it finished 1.47–0.60.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Spartak Moscow a 21.6% chance to finish top of the regular season: 23.3% after a win, 16.9% after a draw, 14.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 23.3%, 1.7 points higher than before the match.

For Akron the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 47.7% going in: 35.3% after a win, 44.4% after a draw, 50.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 50.1%, 2.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Spartak Moscow v Akron has moved

First published on 25 Oct at 63% / 21% / 16% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 66% / 20% / 14%: the biggest move is Spartak Moscow's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Spartak Moscow win66%▲ +3
  2. Draw20%▼ −1
  3. Akron win14%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.