7 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

Udinese vs Lazio Serie A prediction & result

Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Udinese 1-2 Lazio.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Udinese, 30% draw, 28% Lazio — fair odds of 2.38, 3.33 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Udinese at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Udinese0%Draw5%Lazio95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Jakub Piotrowski
13'
🔁Jakub Piotrowskiout: Lennon Miller
15'
Lennon Miller
23'
25'
Gustav Isaksen
🔁Oumar Soletout: Christian Kabasele
38'
Jesper Karlstrom
45+3'
🔁Unai Gómezout: Vakoun Bayo
45'
⚽Jesper Karlstromassist: Keinan Davis
49'
53'
🔁Andrea Pinamontiout: Tijjani Noslin
53'
🔁Gustav Isaksenout: Matteo Cancellieri
Vakoun Bayo
67'
75'
⚽Davide Frattesiassist: Mattia Zaccagni
🔁Keinan Davisout: Oier Zarraga
76'
🔁James Abankwahout: Nicolo Bertola
76'
80'
🔁Davide Frattesiout: Albert Gudmundsson
Nicolo Bertola
84'
88'
⚽Albert Gudmundssonassist: Danilho Doekhi
90+1'
🔁Mattia Zaccagniout: Alfonso Pedraza

Match stats — Udinese vs Lazio

40%Possession60%
10Shots19
6On target6
2Corners8

Line-ups

Udinese 3-4-2-1
  • 40M. OkoyeG
  • 14J. AbankwahD
  • 28O. SoletD
  • 77E. EbosseD
  • 23M. VojvodaM
  • 8J. KarlströmM
  • 24J. PiotrowskiM
  • 11H. KamaraM
  • 32J. EkkelenkampM
  • 46Unai GómezM
  • 9K. DavisF
Substitutes
  • 38L. MillerM
  • 41B. MrozekG
  • 93D. PadelliG
  • 45G. VinciatiF
  • 6Oier ZarragaM
  • 4S. LovrićM
  • 15V. BayoF
  • 13N. BertolaD
  • 30G. ChakvetadzeM
Coach: K. Runjaic
Lazio 4-3-3
  • 35C. MandasG
  • 15R. Floriani MussoliniD
  • 5D. DoekhiD
  • 25O. ProvstgaardD
  • 17Nuno TavaresD
  • 16D. FrattesiM
  • 21R. BelahyaneM
  • 24K. TaylorM
  • 11G. IsaksenF
  • 9A. PinamontiF
  • 10M. ZaccagniF
Substitutes
  • 22M. CancellieriF
  • 33Ricardo BordonD
  • 71V. FarcomeniM
  • 80A. GuðmundssonF
  • 29M. LazzariM
  • 40E. MottaG
  • 14T. NoslinF
  • 23PedrazaD
  • 28A. PrzyborekM
Coach: G. Gattuso

Form going into Udinese vs Lazio

Udinese

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2away to Monza29 August 2026
  • D1-1Como22 August 2026

Lazio

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Genoa30 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Bologna24 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
20Udinese111281225-135
1Lazio11920259+1629

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Udinese vs Lazio

  • 27 April 2026Lazio 3–3 UdineseSerie A
  • 27 December 2025Udinese 1–1 LazioSerie A
  • 10 March 2025Lazio 1–1 UdineseSerie A
  • 24 August 2024Udinese 2–1 LazioSerie A
  • 11 March 2024Lazio 1–2 UdineseSerie A

The full Udinese vs Lazio record →

Leading scorers: Udinese and Lazio

Udinese

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.

Lazio

GoalsAssists

  • T. Noslin44
  • G. Isaksen41
  • D. Frattesi40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Lazio won 2–1 at Udinese. The model had leaned towards a win for Udinese at 42% and given a win for Lazio 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Jesper Karlstrom 49' for Udinese, Davide Frattesi 75' for Lazio, Albert Gudmundsson 88' for Lazio.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.