Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Independiente Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Central Cordoba de Santiago 0-1 Independiente.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Central Cordoba de Santiago, 30% draw, 33% Independiente — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Central Cordoba de Santiago at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Independiente
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1A. AguerreG
- 33S. MoyanoD
- 2A. R. MacielD
- 6F. MansillaD
- 23D. CaceresD
- 22M. VeraM
- 18L. GonzalezM
- 20F. MartinezM
- 10M. IacobellisM
- 7D. BarreraM
- 19E. NayaF
- 25J. VallejosG
- 17Y. CasermeiroD
- 3L. MarchiD
- 42J. PignaniD
- 32N. GarridoD
- 5T. CraveroM
- 37A. LapridaF
- 30F. RodriguezM
- 29J. FloresF
- 33R. ReyG
- 29L. GodoyD
- 13J. FedorcoD
- 35J. ArrayagoD
- 22F. ZabalaD
- 16M. Perez CurciM
- 23I. MarconeM
- 8M. MezaM
- 7S. MontielF
- 34F. TemponeF
- 19M. AbaldoF
- 77S. MeleG
- 2F. CalderonD
- 20F. CruzM
- 10L. CabralM
- 32D. MartinezM
- 14L. MillanM
- 24J. PalaisM
- 40J. VelardezD
- 6C. AvilaF
Form going into Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Talleres Cordoba30 August 2026
- L1-2away to Tigre24 August 2026
- L0-1Instituto Cordoba16 August 2026
- W2-1away to Union Santa Fe11 August 2026
- W1-0San Lorenzo4 August 2026
Independiente
All competitions we cover
- L0-3Gimnasia Mendoza30 August 2026
- D0-0Independiente Rivadavia22 August 2026
- W3-1away to Lanus17 August 2026
- L0-1Platense9 August 2026
- L0-1away to Velez Sarsfield3 August 2026
What these results say
- Independiente failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Independiente failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Independiente conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 11 |
| 7 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Central Cordoba de Santiago and Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
GoalsAssists
- M. Santos92
Independiente
GoalsAssists
- G. Ávalos115
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Independiente won 1–0 at Central Cordoba de Santiago. The model had leaned towards a win for Central Cordoba de Santiago at 37% and given a win for Independiente 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: L. Godoy 57' for Independiente. On expected goals it finished 1.36–1.78.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.