Lanus vs Defensa Y Justicia Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Lanus 1-0 Defensa Y Justicia.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Lanus, 27% draw, 29% Defensa Y Justicia — fair odds of 2.27, 3.70 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lanus at 44% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Lanus vs Defensa Y Justicia
Lanus
- L0-1away to Boca Juniors29 August 2026
- D1-1Argentinos Juniors25 August 2026
- L1-3Independiente17 August 2026
Defensa Y Justicia
- W1-0Platense31 August 2026
- W2-1away to Belgrano Cordoba23 August 2026
- D1-1away to Velez Sarsfield17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lanus | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 3 | Defensa Y Justicia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Lanus and Defensa Y Justicia
Lanus
- D. Aquino6 goals2 assists
Defensa Y Justicia
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.