Rosario Central vs Newell's Old Boys Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Rosario Central 1-1 Newell's Old Boys.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Rosario Central, 29% draw, 28% Newell's Old Boys — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Rosario Central at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rosario Central vs Newell's Old Boys
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23C. LedesmaG
- 32E. CoronelD
- 46I. OvandoD
- 13G. AvilaD
- 3A. SandezD
- 5F. IbarraM
- 20V. PizarroM
- 88A. RodriguezM
- 11A. Di MariaM
- 8J. CampazM
- 22E. CopettiF
- 1A. WernerG
- 24J. GimenezD
- 33A. SotoD
- 15F. Mallo BlancoD
- 2S. ZarachoD
- 42E. VeronD
- 31F. NavarroM
- 28P. FernandezM
- 9M. RubenF
- 30J. ReinattiG
- 6M. OrtegaD
- 17L. GiannettiD
- 16L. CarrizoD
- 24F. EscobarD
- 26R. HerreraM
- 5L. RegiardoM
- 7W. MazzanttiM
- 20F. GuchM
- 32S. SolariM
- 9M. CoccaroF
- 21G. AriasG
- 22O. SalomonD
- 25B. CabreraD
- 15A. SonoraM
- 27L. GomezM
- 19J. GomezM
- 18M. E. GarciaF
- 99I. RamirezF
- 33W. NunezF
Form going into Rosario Central vs Newell's Old Boys
Rosario Central
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Gimnasia La Plata29 August 2026
- D2-2away to Talleres Cordoba25 August 2026
- W1-0away to Barracas Central16 August 2026
- W2-1Aldosivi7 August 2026
- W1-0away to River Plate2 August 2026
Newell's Old Boys
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Estudiantes La Plata31 August 2026
- W2-1Banfield23 August 2026
- W2-0Deportivo Riestra15 August 2026
- L1-2away to Defensa Y Justicia9 August 2026
- D2-2Boca Juniors2 August 2026
What these results say
- Rosario Central scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Newell's Old Boys scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | +14 | 34 |
| 6 | Newell's Old Boys | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Rosario Central and Newell's Old Boys
Rosario Central
GoalsAssists
- Á. Di María115
- G. Ávila73
Newell's Old Boys
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rosario Central and Newell's Old Boys drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Rosario Central at 43% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: G. Avila 45' for Rosario Central, M. Coccaro 90' for Newell's Old Boys. On expected goals it finished 0.42–0.51.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.