Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes La Plata Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Estudiantes La Plata.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Velez Sarsfield, 27% draw, 32% Estudiantes La Plata — fair odds of 2.44, 3.70 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Velez Sarsfield at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes La Plata
Line-ups
- 1T. MarchioriG
- 4J. GarciaD
- 32T. SilveroD
- 2E. MammanaD
- 3E. GomezD
- 29R. AliendroM
- 8L. RobertoneM
- 11M. PellegriniM
- 37J. PolicellaM
- 18S. EscobarM
- 77R. MartinezF
- 23F. SanguinettiG
- 16L. MagallanD
- 19L. CristaldoD
- 47A. PereyraD
- 22M. LanziniM
- 5C. BaezaM
- 48L. FelerM
- 17A. VeronF
- 35M. AriasF
- 16F. MusleraG
- 20E. MezaD
- 14L. Gonzalez PirezD
- 24T. PalaciosD
- 13G. BenedettiD
- 8Gabriel NevesM
- 22A. CastroM
- 18E. CetreM
- 31B. RodriguezM
- 28B. AguirreM
- 19A. GaichF
- 1F. IacovichG
- 40E. MancusoD
- 4S. NunezD
- 7J. SosaM
- 39J. EliasM
- 21L. PioviM
- 34M. MonsalveM
- 32J. CorreaF
- 9G. CarrilloF
Form going into Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes La Plata
Velez Sarsfield
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Deportivo Riestra29 August 2026
- D2-2away to River Plate23 August 2026
- D1-1Defensa Y Justicia17 August 2026
- D1-1away to Boca Juniors8 August 2026
- W1-0Independiente3 August 2026
Estudiantes La Plata
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Newell's Old Boys31 August 2026
- L0-2away to Sarmiento Junin23 August 2026
- W4-0Gimnasia La Plata15 August 2026
- L0-2away to Deportivo Riestra8 August 2026
- L0-1away to Boca Juniors5 August 2026
What these results say
- Velez Sarsfield went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Velez Sarsfield scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Velez Sarsfield failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Estudiantes La Plata failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Estudiantes La Plata failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Estudiantes La Plata had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | +8 | 28 |
| 12 | Estudiantes La Plata | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Velez Sarsfield and Estudiantes La Plata
Velez Sarsfield
GoalsAssists
- R. Martínez132
Estudiantes La Plata
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 21 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Velez Sarsfield beat Estudiantes La Plata 1–0. The model had made a win for Velez Sarsfield its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: R. Martinez 40' for Velez Sarsfield.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.