Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes La Plata Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Estudiantes La Plata.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Velez Sarsfield, 27% draw, 32% Estudiantes La Plata — fair odds of 2.44, 3.70 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Velez Sarsfield at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes La Plata
Velez Sarsfield
- D1-1away to Deportivo Riestra29 August 2026
- D2-2away to River Plate23 August 2026
- D1-1Defensa Y Justicia17 August 2026
Estudiantes La Plata
- D0-0Newell's Old Boys31 August 2026
- L0-2away to Sarmiento Junin23 August 2026
- W4-0Gimnasia La Plata15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 17 |
| 11 | Estudiantes La Plata | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Velez Sarsfield and Estudiantes La Plata
Velez Sarsfield
- M. Lanzini6 goals
Estudiantes La Plata
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.