Internacional vs Santos Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Internacional 2-3 Santos.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Internacional, 29% draw, 36% Santos — fair odds of 2.86, 3.45 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Santos at 36% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Internacional vs Santos
Internacional
- L2-3away to Bahia30 August 2026
- D0-0Atletico Mineiro22 August 2026
- D1-1Remo17 August 2026
Santos
- W1-0away to Corinthians30 August 2026
- D1-1Mirassol23 August 2026
- W3-0away to Vasco da Gama16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Internacional | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 28 |
| 10 | Santos | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 35 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Internacional and Santos
Internacional
- J. Carbonero7 goals4 assists
Santos
- Gabriel Barbosa10 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.