15 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon Premier League prediction & result

Petrosport Stadium, Cairo
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Wadi Degla 0-2 El Mokawloon.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Wadi Degla, 26% draw, 26% El Mokawloon — fair odds of 2.08, 3.85 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Wadi Degla at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Wadi Degla0%Draw6%El Mokawloon94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•Kamal Abou Elfetouh
23'
Kamal Abou Elfetouh
37'
🔁Ibrahim Mohamed El Bahnasiout: Ahmed Scholes
45'
56'
Shady Hussein
64'
🔁Shady Husseinout: Idrissa Thiam
64'
🔁Dokou Dodoout: Mohamed Refat
Ahmed Scholes
68'
🔁Ziad Osama Zizoout: Youssef Oya
74'
79'
🔁Joseph Benson Ochayaout: Nader Hesham
79'
🔁Islam Gaberout: Mohammed Sandouqa
80'
⚽Idrissa Thiamassist: Kahraba
🔁Adel Mahmoudout: Mohamed Said
85'
🔁Ahmed Faroukout: Hamza Hassan
85'
🔁Ahmed Redaout: Ahmed Dahroug
85'
90'
🔁Omar Kamalout: Ibrahim Adel
90+4'
⚽Mostafa Gamal (pen)
Seif Teka
90+6'

Match stats — Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon

60%Possession40%
10Shots7
4On target4
7Corners4

Line-ups

Wadi Degla 4-2-3-1
  • 1Amr HossamG
  • 2Shady MaherD
  • 28S. TekaD
  • 6Kamal Abou ElfetouhD
  • 21Ahmed RedaD
  • 25Ibrahim El BahnasiM
  • 19A. MahmoudM
  • 10Mahmoud DiastyM
  • 14Mohamed Abdel AatiM
  • 22ZizoM
  • 32Ahmed FaroukF
Substitutes
  • 13Z. SeyamG
  • 20Mohamed JuhaynaM
  • 3Omar AdlyD
  • 17H. HassanF
  • 34M. KaandorpM
  • 8Ahmed ScholesM
  • 7Youssef OyaF
  • 5Ahmed DahrougD
  • 27Ahmed RefaatF
Coach: Mostafa Shebeita
El Mokawloon 4-2-3-1
  • 18Mohamed FawziG
  • 26Ahmed Magdy KahrabaD
  • 4Hassan HusseinD
  • 3Mohamed HamedD
  • 23J. OchayaD
  • 6D. DokouM
  • 12Omar El WahshM
  • 20Islam GaberM
  • 14Mostafa GamalM
  • 29Omar KamalM
  • 99Shady HusseinF
Substitutes
  • 92Idrissa ThiamF
  • 15M. SandouqaM
  • 1Mahmoud Abou El SaoudG
  • 24Nader HeshamD
  • 17M. RifaatF
  • 7Anas BaniowdaF
  • 28Ibrahim AdelM
  • 19A. Aouled BehiM
  • 2Youssef Ahmed RamadanD
Coach: Samy Komsan

Form going into Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon

Wadi Degla

Premier League

  • L1-2away to Future FC9 September 2026

El Mokawloon

Premier League

  • D1-1Al Ahly9 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Egypt Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Wadi Degla8143810-27
7El Mokawloon8323118+311

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon

  • 18 May 2026El Mokawloon 1–1 Wadi DeglaPremier League
  • 5 February 2026Wadi Degla 0–1 El MokawloonPremier League
  • 25 April 2025Wadi Degla 0–1 El MokawloonSecond League
  • 15 December 2024El Mokawloon 0–0 Wadi DeglaSecond League
  • 22 April 2021El Mokawloon 1–0 Wadi DeglaPremier League

The result against the call

El Mokawloon won 2–0 at Wadi Degla. The model had leaned towards a win for Wadi Degla at 48% and given a win for El Mokawloon 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Idrissa Thiam 80' for El Mokawloon, Mostafa Gamal (penalty) 90+4' for El Mokawloon.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.