Asyut Petrol
vs
Future FC
Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Asyut Petrol 0-2 Future FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Asyut Petrol, 30% draw, 37% Future FC — fair odds of 3.03, 3.33 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Asyut Petrol 1.16, Future FC 1.32.
Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 45%, under 2.5: 55%.
Model confidence: Low.
Published · updated
Model insights: Asyut Petrol vs Future FC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Future FC at 37% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Asyut Petrol vs Future FC
Line-ups
- 1Amgad YoussefG
- 30Abdelrahman MedhatD
- 5Mahmoud AlaaD
- 24Mahmoud AlaaD
- 7Ahmed YounesM
- 11Mostafa SadafaM
- 31Alabi SalamM
- 19I. AbbasM
- 12Zeyad TarekM
- 15H. KhaledF
- 35C. C. BodneF
- 29Abdelrahman MorganD
- 17Ahmed HamzaM
- 16Karim EmadG
- 26A. R. Al KhamisiM
- 9M. EidF
- 20A. ShokryD
- 22Mohamed HeshaM
- 32Karim KamelM
- 33Fares RagabD
- 99Mostafa MakhloufG
- 77Ali FawziD
- 3Mohamed Ahmed SharkiaD
- 4Khaled RedaD
- 20M. HalawaniD
- 8Mohamed SabryM
- 27Ghanam MohamedM
- 90Mohamed GharibM
- 98K. A. KaboriaM
- 11Walid MostafaM
- 9Mahmoud MamdouhF
- 29M. EphsonF
- 18Mahmoud El ZonfolyG
- 38A. EbaF
- 19Mohamed MossadF
- 22Ali ZaazaaM
- 33H. MetwaliD
- 5Tarek TahaD
- 14Ahmed MostafaM
- 12Ahmed YoussefM
Form going into Asyut Petrol vs Future FC
Asyut Petrol
- L0-1away to Al Ittihad Alexandria7 September 2026
- L0-1National Bank of Egypt31 August 2026
- D0-0away to Smouha SC26 August 2026
- D1-1Petrojet22 August 2026
Future FC
- W2-1Wadi Degla9 September 2026
- L0-2away to Ceramica Cleopatra2 September 2026
- W2-0Ghazl El Mehalla27 August 2026
- D1-1away to El Gouna FC23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Asyut Petrol | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
| 5 | Future FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Asyut Petrol vs Future FC
- 15 September 2026Asyut Petrol 0–2 Future FCPremier League
- 1 June 2024Future FC 3–0 Asyut PetrolCup
Leading scorers: Asyut Petrol and Future FC
Asyut Petrol
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 1 league goals as a side.
Future FC
- Mahmoud Mamdouh3 goals1 assists
- M. Halawani1 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 1.16 goals for Asyut Petrol and 1.32 for Future FC; the game produced 0 and 2.
Goals
Scorers, in order: Mohamed Ahmed Sharkia 31' (Future FC), Mohamed Sabry 82' (Future FC).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1168 correct results out of 2477 settled predictions (47%), with 234 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Future FC the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.16 expected goals for Asyut Petrol against 1.32 for Future FC. Asyut Petrol's attack/defence rating is 0.45/1.54 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.71/1.59 for Future FC.