21 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

Ceramica Cleopatra vs Petrojet Premier League prediction & result

Arab Contractors Stadium, Cairo
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Ceramica Cleopatra 2-0 Petrojet.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Ceramica Cleopatra, 26% draw, 27% Petrojet — fair odds of 2.13, 3.85 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Ceramica Cleopatra at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ceramica Cleopatra96%Draw4%Petrojet0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Mohamed El Maghraby
7'
29'
Adham Hamed
⚽Peter Gwargisassist: Nejc Gradisar
30'
🔁Fathy Mohamedout: Ahmed Hany
35'
🔁Marwan Otakaout: Samir El Eraki
45'
🔁Mohamed Redaout: Ayman Moka
45'
45'
🔁Adham Hamedout: F. Kouablan
45'
🔁Islam Abdallahout: Godwin Chika Okwara
67'
🔁Badr Mousaout: Karim El Deeb
67'
🔁Mohamed Ibrahimout: Abubakar Liadi
🔁Nejc Gradisarout: Mohamed El Sayed Shika
78'
🔁Peter Gwargisout: Sodiq Ougola
78'
Hussein El Sayed
81'
81'
F. Kouablan
87'
🔁Mahmoud Shedid Kenawiout: Abdel Rahman Hamawy
90+1'
Godwin Chika Okwara
⚽Amr Al Sulaya (pen)
90+5'

Match stats — Ceramica Cleopatra vs Petrojet

63%Possession37%
14Shots9
4On target1
2Corners4
2.1xG0.7

Goals against chances

Ceramica Cleopatra2 from 2.10 xGabout what the chances were worth
Petrojet0 from 0.70 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Ceramica Cleopatra 4-2-3-1
  • 23M. AlaaG
  • 3M. FathyD
  • 66Mohamed El MaghrabyD
  • 31Moaz MosaadD
  • 27Hussein Al SayedD
  • 28Amr KalawaM
  • 17Amr Al SulayaM
  • 21P. GwargisM
  • 77Mohamed RedaM
  • 29Marwan OsmanM
  • 9N. GradišarF
Substitutes
  • 2Ahmed HanyD
  • 10Ahmed BelhadjiM
  • 22Khalied AlnabrisiF
  • 15Samir El ErakiF
  • 32F. El HenawyM
  • 18Mohamed BassamG
  • 11S. OugolaF
  • 19Ayman MokaF
  • 25Mohamed ShikaF
Coach: Ali Maher
Petrojet 4-4-2
  • 1Omar SalahG
  • 4Mahmoud Shedid KenawiD
  • 25Barakat HaggagD
  • 40Youssef Abdel-TawabD
  • 3Islam AbdallahD
  • 11Mohamed Ibrahim DodoM
  • 17Adham HamedM
  • 8Mohamed OsmanM
  • 9Badr MoussaM
  • 15Ahmed BahbahF
  • 19Mostafa El BadryF
Substitutes
  • 22Omar DiyaaF
  • 7Karim El DeebD
  • 12A. HamawyM
  • 77Mohamed KhalifaG
  • 13F. M. KouablanF
  • 21A. LiadiF
  • 30G. OkwaraF
  • 29Ahmed YassinD
  • 66Gamal FawziM
Coach: Sayed Eid

Form going into Ceramica Cleopatra vs Petrojet

Ceramica Cleopatra

Premier League

  • L1-4away to Pyramids FC12 October 2026
  • W2-0National Bank of Egypt14 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Smouha SC8 September 2026

Petrojet

Premier League

  • D2-2Wadi Degla13 October 2026
  • W2-1away to El Gouna FC16 September 2026
  • W2-1Al Masry7 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Egypt Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Ceramica Cleopatra8602158+718
11Petrojet82331113-29

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ceramica Cleopatra vs Petrojet

  • 2 November 2025Ceramica Cleopatra 2–1 PetrojetPremier League
  • 21 May 2025Petrojet 1–0 Ceramica CleopatraLeague Cup
  • 5 May 2025Petrojet 0–2 Ceramica CleopatraPremier League
  • 24 April 2025Ceramica Cleopatra 4–1 PetrojetLeague Cup
  • 28 February 2025Ceramica Cleopatra 4–1 PetrojetPremier League

Leading scorers: Ceramica Cleopatra and Petrojet

Ceramica Cleopatra

GoalsAssists

  • Mohamed Reda32
  • Ahmed Belhadji23

Petrojet

GoalsAssists

  • Ahmed Bahbah31
  • Mostafa El Badry31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Ceramica Cleopatra beat Petrojet 2–0. The model had made a win for Ceramica Cleopatra its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Peter Gwargis 30' for Ceramica Cleopatra, Amr Al Sulaya (penalty) 90+5' for Ceramica Cleopatra. On expected goals it finished 2.10–0.70.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Ceramica Cleopatra a 74.0% chance to finish in the top six: 82.2% after a win, 71.6% after a draw, 62.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 82.2%, 8.2 points higher than before the match.

For Petrojet the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 17.2% going in: 26.5% after a win, 16.0% after a draw, 10.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 10.9%, 6.3 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Ceramica Cleopatra v Petrojet has moved

First published on 7 Oct at 46% / 28% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 47% / 26% / 27%: the biggest move is the draw, down 2 points.

  1. Ceramica Cleopatra win47%▲ +1
  2. Draw26%▼ −2
  3. Petrojet win27%▲ +1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.